What markets are included in the Southampton vs Brighton prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Southampton vs Brighton prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Southampton vs Brighton

Southampton vs Brighton prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2025-02-22 15:00

Southampton

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

68%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-2

Brighton

Away

Prediction Summary

22%

20%

58%

Over 2.5

68%

BTTS Yes

65%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Southampton (Home)

Goals scored / match0.68

Goals conceded / match2.47

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate53%

Brighton (Away)

Goals scored / match1.89

Goals conceded / match1.74

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

Southampton

LLDLL

Brighton

WWWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

58% +0.5 95%

11% +1.5 63%

0% +2.5 21%

0% +3.5 11%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 68%. Model confidence is Medium.

Southampton averages 0.68 goals scored at home, while Brighton averages 1.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength

68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

22%

Draw

20%

Away Win

58%

Over 2.5

68%

BTTS Yes

65%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2025 Southampton 0 - 4 Brighton Away

Nov 2024 Southampton(A) 1 - 1 Brighton Draw

May 2023 Southampton(A) 1 - 3 Brighton Away

Dec 2022 Southampton 1 - 3 Brighton Away

Apr 2022 Southampton(A) 2 - 2 Brighton Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Southampton won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Southampton — unbeaten run (home)0

Southampton — scoring streak (home)1

Brighton — winless run (away)0

Brighton — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Southampton Win (1)22%

Draw (X)20%

Brighton Win (2)58%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

58% +0.5 95%

11% +1.5 63%

0% +2.5 21%

0% +3.5 11%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

42% -0.5 5%

89% -1.5 37%

100% -2.5 79%

100% -3.5 89%

100% -4.5 100%

Southampton vs Brighton — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Southampton — scored (home)0.68

Southampton — conceded (home)2.47

Brighton — scored (away)1.89

Brighton — conceded (away)1.74

Model expected combined goals3.48

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%

No35%

Rate per Team

Southampton — BTTS matches (home)53%

Brighton — BTTS matches (away)68%

Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%

Under 4.58%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.574%

Under 8.526%

Over 9.566%

Under 9.534%

Over 10.553%

Under 10.547%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Southampton (home)

Corners for3.2

Corners against7.2

Brighton (away)

Corners for5.1

Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Southampton

13 13 16 9 13

Brighton

9 5 11 6 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.590%

Under 1.510%

Over 2.569%

Under 2.531%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Southampton (home)

For2.2

Brighton (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Southampton — total shots (home)8.6

Brighton — total shots (away)12.8

Shots on Target

Southampton — on target (home)3.0

Brighton — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Southampton

Inside the box6.45

Outside the box2.58

Brighton

Inside the box9.26

Outside the box4.76

Player Shots Southampton

J. Aribo

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target6%

P. Onuachu

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target24%

J. Bednarek

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target3%

Mateus Fernandes

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target11%

T. Harwood-Bellis

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Brighton

D. Gómez

Shots on Target/Game3

+0.5 On Target6%

+1.5 On Target6%

J. Enciso

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target17%

P. Estupiñán

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target10%

Y. Minteh

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target13%

K. Mitoma

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Southampton xG (home)0.87

Brighton xG (away)1.56

Average Possession

48.66% Possession 52.55%

Team Comparison Southampton vs Brighton

84.79% Pass accuracy 84.32%

454.84 Passes per match 465.89

0.07 Goals prevented -0.01

12.08 Fouls committed 11.53

4.26 Goalkeeper saves 2.54

1.44 Offsides 1.21

17.18 Tackles per match 18.55

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Southampton vs Brighton prediction analysis

Review Southampton vs Brighton with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights