What markets are included in the Southampton vs Newcastle prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Southampton vs Newcastle prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Southampton vs Newcastle

Southampton vs Newcastle prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2025-01-25 15:00

Southampton

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

62%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-2

Newcastle

Away

Prediction Summary

16%

19%

65%

Over 2.5

62%

BTTS Yes

56%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Southampton (Home)

Goals scored / match0.68

Goals conceded / match2.47

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate53%

Newcastle (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match1.42

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Southampton

LLDLL

Newcastle

LLWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

58% +0.5 79%

11% +1.5 42%

0% +2.5 21%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

Southampton averages 0.68 goals scored at home, while Newcastle averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength

65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

16%

Draw

19%

Away Win

65%

Over 2.5

62%

BTTS Yes

56%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2025 Southampton 1 - 3 Newcastle Away

Aug 2024 Southampton(A) 0 - 1 Newcastle Away

Apr 2023 Southampton(A) 1 - 3 Newcastle Away

Jan 2023 Southampton(A) 1 - 2 Newcastle Away

Jan 2023 Southampton 0 - 1 Newcastle Away

In the last 5 meetings, Southampton won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Southampton — unbeaten run (home)0

Southampton — scoring streak (home)1

Newcastle — winless run (away)3

Newcastle — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Southampton Win (1)16%

Draw (X)19%

Newcastle Win (2)65%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

58% +0.5 79%

11% +1.5 42%

0% +2.5 21%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

42% -0.5 21%

89% -1.5 58%

100% -2.5 79%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Southampton vs Newcastle — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Southampton — scored (home)0.68

Southampton — conceded (home)2.47

Newcastle — scored (away)1.47

Newcastle — conceded (away)1.42

Model expected combined goals3.2

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%

No44%

Rate per Team

Southampton — BTTS matches (home)53%

Newcastle — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)55.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%

Under 4.510%

Over 5.584%

Under 5.516%

Over 6.577%

Under 6.523%

Over 7.566%

Under 7.534%

Over 8.566%

Under 8.534%

Over 9.561%

Under 9.539%

Over 10.556%

Under 10.544%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Southampton (home)

Corners for3.2

Corners against7.2

Newcastle (away)

Corners for5.3

Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Southampton

13 13 16 9 13

Newcastle

13 5 10 17 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.579%

Under 1.521%

Over 2.558%

Under 2.542%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Southampton (home)

For2.2

Newcastle (away)

For1.5

Shots per Game

Southampton — total shots (home)8.6

Newcastle — total shots (away)12.1

Shots on Target

Southampton — on target (home)3.0

Newcastle — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Southampton

Inside the box6.45

Outside the box2.58

Newcastle

Inside the box9.89

Outside the box3.92

Player Shots Southampton

J. Aribo

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target6%

P. Onuachu

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target24%

J. Bednarek

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target3%

Mateus Fernandes

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target11%

T. Harwood-Bellis

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target18%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Newcastle

S. Botman

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target13%

A. Isak

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target38%

J. Murphy

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target11%

H. Barnes

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target15%

Joelinton

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Southampton xG (home)0.87

Newcastle xG (away)1.72

Average Possession

48.66% Possession 51.13%

Team Comparison Southampton vs Newcastle

84.79% Pass accuracy 82.45%

454.84 Passes per match 451.79

0.07 Goals prevented -0.16

12.08 Fouls committed 10.37

4.26 Goalkeeper saves 3.08

1.44 Offsides 2.15

17.18 Tackles per match 15.87

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Southampton vs Newcastle prediction analysis

Review Southampton vs Newcastle with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights