Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Southampton vs Wolves

Southampton vs Wolves prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier League 2025-03-15 15:00
Southampton
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
69%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-2
Wolves
Away

Prediction Summary

1
25%
X
21%
2
54%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS Yes
67%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Southampton (Home)

Goals scored / match0.68
Goals conceded / match2.47
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate53%

Wolves (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.95
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Southampton
LLDLL
Wolves
DLLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

58% +0.5 79%
11% +1.5 42%
0% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 69%. Model confidence is Medium.

Southampton averages 0.68 goals scored at home, while Wolves averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength
69%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
25%
Draw
21%
Away Win
54%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS Yes
67%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2025 Southampton 1 - 2 Wolves Away
Nov 2024 Southampton(A) 0 - 2 Wolves Away
Feb 2023 Southampton 1 - 2 Wolves Away
Sep 2022 Southampton(A) 0 - 1 Wolves Away
Jan 2022 Southampton(A) 1 - 3 Wolves Away

In the last 5 meetings, Southampton won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Southampton — unbeaten run (home)0
Southampton — scoring streak (home)1
Wolves — winless run (away)2
Wolves — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Southampton Win (1)25%
Draw (X)21%
Wolves Win (2)54%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

58% +0.5 79%
11% +1.5 42%
0% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

42% -0.5 21%
89% -1.5 58%
100% -2.5 84%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Southampton vs Wolves — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Southampton — scored (home)0.68
Southampton — conceded (home)2.47
Wolves — scored (away)1.42
Wolves — conceded (away)1.95
Model expected combined goals3.56

Both Teams To Score

Yes67%
No33%

Rate per Team

Southampton — BTTS matches (home)53%
Wolves — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.558%
Under 9.542%
Over 10.548%
Under 10.552%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Southampton (home)

Corners for3.2
Corners against7.2

Wolves (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Southampton
13 13 16 9 13
Wolves
6 9 11 9 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.589%
Under 0.511%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.566%
Under 2.534%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Southampton (home)

For2.2

Wolves (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Southampton — total shots (home)8.6
Wolves — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

Southampton — on target (home)3.0
Wolves — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Southampton

Inside the box6.45
Outside the box2.58

Wolves

Inside the box7.05
Outside the box4.29

Player Shots Southampton

J. Aribo
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target6%
P. Onuachu
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target24%
J. Bednarek
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target3%
Mateus Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Harwood-Bellis
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Wolves

Matheus Cunha
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target39%
S. Bueno
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target3%
Toti Gomes
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Strand Larsen
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target26%
M. Lemina
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Southampton xG (home)0.87
Wolves xG (away)1.17

Average Possession

48.66% Possession 48.08%

Team Comparison Southampton vs Wolves

84.79% Pass accuracy 82.05%
454.84 Passes per match 431.18
0.07 Goals prevented -0.3
12.08 Fouls committed 12.63
4.26 Goalkeeper saves 2.68
1.44 Offsides 1.68
17.18 Tackles per match 21.13

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Southampton vs Wolves prediction analysis

Review Southampton vs Wolves with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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