What markets are included in the Spain vs Argentina prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Spain vs Argentina prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Spain vs Argentina

Spain vs Argentina prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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World Cup 2026-07-19 19:00

Spain

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

BTTS Yes

Pick

Yes

Probability

60%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Argentina

Away

Prediction Summary

43%

24%

32%

+2.5 Goals

58%

BTTS

60%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Spain (Home)

Goals scored / match2.25

Goals conceded / match0.25

Over 2.5 rate50%

BTTS rate25%

Argentina (Away)

Goals scored / match2.5

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate50%

BTTS rate100%

Team Form last 5 matches

Spain

WWWWW

Argentina

WWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

75% +0.5 100%

75% +1.5 100%

50% +2.5 50%

25% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

25% BTTS 100%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.

Spain averages 2.25 goals scored at home, while Argentina averages 2.5 goals scored away.

Model Strength

60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

43%

Draw

24%

Away Win

32%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

60%

Head-to-Head last 0

No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.

Current Streaks

Spain — unbeaten run (home)4

Spain — scoring streak (home)3

Argentina — winless run (away)0

Argentina — clean sheets (away, last 2)0 of 2

1X2 Probability model

Spain Win (1)43%

Draw (X)24%

Argentina Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

75% +0.5 100%

75% +1.5 100%

50% +2.5 50%

25% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

25% -0.5 0%

25% -1.5 0%

50% -2.5 50%

75% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Spain vs Argentina — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Spain — scored (home)2.25

Spain — conceded (home)0.25

Argentina — scored (away)2.5

Argentina — conceded (away)1

Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%

No40%

Rate per Team

Spain — BTTS matches (home)25%

Argentina — BTTS matches (away)100%

Combined (simple average)62.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.541%

Under 9.559%

Over 10.533%

Under 10.567%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Spain (home)

Corners for7.8

Corners against0.8

Argentina (away)

Corners for6.0

Corners against1.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Spain

7 9 10 6 8

Argentina

8 15 7 10 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.588%

Under 1.512%

Over 2.563%

Under 2.537%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Spain (home)

For0.8

Argentina (away)

For1.5

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.562%

Under 19.538%

Over 22.551%

Under 22.549%

Over 25.540%

Under 25.560%

Expected total shots24.15

Spain

Shots Over 9.574%

Shots Over 11.562%

Shots Over 13.550%

Expected shots14.40

On Target Over 3.564%

On Target Over 4.550%

On Target Over 5.538%

Expected on target5.00

Argentina

Shots Over 9.546%

Shots Over 11.532%

Shots Over 13.521%

Expected shots9.75

On Target Over 3.539%

On Target Over 4.525%

On Target Over 5.515%

Expected on target3.25

Shots per Game

Spain — total shots (home)21.8

Argentina — total shots (away)13.5

Shots on Target

Spain — on target (home)8.0

Argentina — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Spain

Inside the box10.33

Outside the box6.67

Argentina

Inside the box9.29

Outside the box6.71

Player Shots Spain

Mikel Oyarzabal

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target86%

+1.5 On Target29%

Lamine Yamal

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target57%

Álex Baena

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Pedro Porro

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target0%

Mikel Merino

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Argentina

L. Messi

Shots on Target/Game3

+0.5 On Target86%

+1.5 On Target57%

J. Álvarez

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target0%

A. Mac Allister

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target0%

E. Fernández

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Lautaro Martínez

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Spain xG (home)2.02

Argentina xG (away)2.11

Average Possession

64.14% Possession 61%

Team Comparison Spain vs Argentina

91.4% Pass accuracy 90.3%

640.17 Passes per match 660.57

0.19 Goals prevented -0.23

11 Fouls committed 12.57

1.14 Goalkeeper saves 1.29

2.43 Offsides 3

15.71 Tackles per match 19.86

League average xG this season is 1.27 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Spain vs Argentina prediction analysis

Review Spain vs Argentina with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from World Cup.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance World Cup

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights