Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Spain vs Costa Rica

Spain vs Costa Rica prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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World Cup 2022-11-23 16:00
Spain
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
79%
Confidence
High
Score
3-0
Costa Rica
Away

Prediction Summary

1
92%
X
6%
2
2%
Over 2.5
79%
BTTS No
62%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Spain (Home)

Goals scored / match4
Goals conceded / match0.5
Over 2.5 rate50%
BTTS rate50%

Costa Rica (Away)

Goals scored / match0.5
Goals conceded / match3.5
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Spain
DLDW
Costa Rica
LWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 50%
50% +1.5 0%
50% +2.5 0%
50% +3.5 0%
50% +4.5 0%
50% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 79%. Model confidence is High.

Spain averages 4 goals scored at home, while Costa Rica averages 0.5 goals scored away.

Model Strength
92%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
92%
Draw
6%
Away Win
2%
Over 2.5
79%
BTTS Yes
38%

Head-to-Head last 1

Nov 2022 Spain 7 - 0 Costa Rica Home

In the last 1 meetings, Spain won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Spain — unbeaten run (home)2
Spain — scoring streak (home)2
Costa Rica — winless run (away)0
Costa Rica — clean sheets (away, last 2)1 of 2

1X2 Probability model

Spain Win (1)92%
Draw (X)6%
Costa Rica Win (2)2%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 50%
50% +1.5 0%
50% +2.5 0%
50% +3.5 0%
50% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 50%
50% -1.5 100%
50% -2.5 100%
50% -3.5 100%
50% -4.5 100%

Spain vs Costa Rica — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Spain — scored (home)4
Spain — conceded (home)0.5
Costa Rica — scored (away)0.5
Costa Rica — conceded (away)3.5
Model expected combined goals4.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes38%
No62%

Rate per Team

Spain — BTTS matches (home)50%
Costa Rica — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)25%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.525%
Under 5.575%
Over 6.525%
Under 6.575%
Over 7.525%
Under 7.575%
Over 8.525%
Under 8.575%
Over 9.525%
Under 9.575%
Over 10.525%
Under 10.575%
Expected total corners (blended average)6.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Spain (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Costa Rica (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Spain
5 11 2 8
Costa Rica
5 5 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.550%
Under 2.550%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Spain (home)

For—

Costa Rica (away)

For—

Shots per Game

Spain — total shots (home)—
Costa Rica — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Spain — on target (home)—
Costa Rica — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Spain

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Costa Rica

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Spain

Dani Olmo
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target50%
Álvaro Morata
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
Marco Asensio
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
Ferran Torres
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
Gavi
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Costa Rica

K. Fuller
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
Y. Tejeda
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
K. Waston
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Bennette
Shots on Target/Game0
+0.5 On Target0%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Campbell
Shots on Target/Game0
+0.5 On Target0%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.

Average Possession

-% Possession -%

Team Comparison Spain vs Costa Rica

0% Pass accuracy 0%
13.25 Tackles per match 22.33
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Spain vs Costa Rica prediction analysis

Review Spain vs Costa Rica with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from World Cup.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance World Cup
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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