Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sparta Praha vs Malmo FF

Sparta Praha vs Malmo FF prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2024-08-27 19:00
Sparta Praha
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
76%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
Malmo FF
Away

Prediction Summary

1
45%
X
21%
2
35%
Over 2.5
76%
BTTS Yes
74%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Sparta Praha (Home)

Goals scored / match1.57
Goals conceded / match1.71
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate43%

Malmo FF (Away)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match2.67
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sparta Praha
LLLLL
Malmo FF
LLWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 67%
43% +1.5 67%
29% +2.5 33%
14% +3.5 33%
0% +4.5 0%
43% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 76%. Model confidence is High.

Sparta Praha averages 1.57 goals scored at home, while Malmo FF averages 2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
76%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
45%
Draw
21%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
76%
BTTS Yes
74%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2024 Sparta Praha 2 - 0 Malmo FF Home
Aug 2024 Sparta Praha(A) 2 - 0 Malmo FF Home

In the last 2 meetings, Sparta Praha won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Sparta Praha — unbeaten run (home)0
Sparta Praha — scoring streak (home)0
Malmo FF — winless run (away)1
Malmo FF — clean sheets (away, last 3)0 of 3

1X2 Probability model

Sparta Praha Win (1)45%
Draw (X)21%
Malmo FF Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 67%
43% +1.5 67%
29% +2.5 33%
14% +3.5 33%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 33%
57% -1.5 33%
71% -2.5 67%
86% -3.5 67%
100% -4.5 100%

Sparta Praha vs Malmo FF — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sparta Praha — scored (home)1.57
Sparta Praha — conceded (home)1.71
Malmo FF — scored (away)2
Malmo FF — conceded (away)2.67
Model expected combined goals3.98

Both Teams To Score

Yes74%
No26%

Rate per Team

Sparta Praha — BTTS matches (home)43%
Malmo FF — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.567%
Under 4.533%
Over 5.567%
Under 5.533%
Over 6.550%
Under 6.550%
Over 7.542%
Under 7.558%
Over 8.59%
Under 8.591%
Over 9.50%
Under 9.5100%
Over 10.50%
Under 10.5100%
Expected total corners (blended average)5.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sparta Praha (home)

Corners for2.4
Corners against4.8

Malmo FF (away)

Corners for7.0
Corners against1.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sparta Praha
9 6 10 7 12
Malmo FF
0 0 4 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Sparta Praha (home)

For1.8

Malmo FF (away)

For3.0

Shots per Game

Sparta Praha — total shots (home)8.8
Malmo FF — total shots (away)14.0

Shots on Target

Sparta Praha — on target (home)3.0
Malmo FF — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sparta Praha

Inside the box6.2
Outside the box3.9

Malmo FF

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box3.5

Player Shots Sparta Praha

L. Haraslín
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Ryneš
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
V. Birmančević
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Preciado
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%
F. Panák
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Malmo FF

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sparta Praha xG (home)0.77
Malmo FF xG (away)0

Average Possession

33.9% Possession 63%

Team Comparison Sparta Praha vs Malmo FF

72.8% Pass accuracy 80%
309.3 Passes per match 519.5
-0.09 Goals prevented 0
10.3 Fouls committed 13
4.8 Goalkeeper saves 2.5
1.4 Offsides 1.5
15.2 Tackles per match 16

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sparta Praha vs Malmo FF prediction analysis

Review Sparta Praha vs Malmo FF with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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