What markets are included in the Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax

Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2025-10-04 14:30

Sparta Rotterdam

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

74%

Confidence

High

Score

1-2

Ajax

Away

Prediction Summary

19%

18%

63%

Over 2.5

74%

BTTS Yes

68%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Sparta Rotterdam (Home)

Goals scored / match1.24

Goals conceded / match1.59

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate47%

Ajax (Away)

Goals scored / match1.76

Goals conceded / match1.41

Over 2.5 rate29%

BTTS rate76%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sparta Rotterdam

LLDLL

Ajax

DWDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 88%

41% +1.5 59%

6% +2.5 29%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 76%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 74%. Model confidence is High.

Sparta Rotterdam averages 1.24 goals scored at home, while Ajax averages 1.76 goals scored away.

Model Strength

74%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

19%

Draw

18%

Away Win

63%

Over 2.5

74%

BTTS Yes

68%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Sparta Rotterdam(A) 0 - 4 Ajax Away

Oct 2025 Sparta Rotterdam 3 - 3 Ajax Draw

Apr 2025 Sparta Rotterdam(A) 1 - 1 Ajax Draw

Dec 2024 Sparta Rotterdam 0 - 2 Ajax Away

Mar 2024 Sparta Rotterdam 2 - 2 Ajax Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Sparta Rotterdam won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Sparta Rotterdam — unbeaten run (home)0

Sparta Rotterdam — scoring streak (home)2

Ajax — winless run (away)1

Ajax — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sparta Rotterdam Win (1)19%

Draw (X)18%

Ajax Win (2)63%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 88%

41% +1.5 59%

6% +2.5 29%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 12%

59% -1.5 41%

94% -2.5 71%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sparta Rotterdam — scored (home)1.24

Sparta Rotterdam — conceded (home)1.59

Ajax — scored (away)1.76

Ajax — conceded (away)1.41

Model expected combined goals3.83

Both Teams To Score

Yes68%

No32%

Rate per Team

Sparta Rotterdam — BTTS matches (home)47%

Ajax — BTTS matches (away)76%

Combined (simple average)61.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.597%

Under 5.53%

Over 6.591%

Under 6.59%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.574%

Under 8.526%

Over 9.565%

Under 9.535%

Over 10.550%

Under 10.550%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sparta Rotterdam (home)

Corners for4.7

Corners against6.5

Ajax (away)

Corners for4.4

Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sparta Rotterdam

7 11 14 11 7

Ajax

10 11 16 4 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.571%

Under 2.529%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Sparta Rotterdam (home)

For1.5

Ajax (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Sparta Rotterdam — total shots (home)13.8

Ajax — total shots (away)13.3

Shots on Target

Sparta Rotterdam — on target (home)4.9

Ajax — on target (away)5.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sparta Rotterdam

Inside the box8.41

Outside the box4.59

Ajax

Inside the box10.03

Outside the box4.83

Player Shots Sparta Rotterdam

T. Lauritsen

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target12%

M. Zonneveld

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target9%

M. van Bergen

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target17%

S. Mito

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target16%

A. Oufkir

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Ajax

M. Godts

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target38%

S. Berghuis

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target29%

O. Gloukh

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target14%

K. Taylor

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target7%

W. Weghorst

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sparta Rotterdam xG (home)1.34

Ajax xG (away)1.62

Average Possession

47.03% Possession 56.39%

Team Comparison Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax

79.41% Pass accuracy 85.03%

396.12 Passes per match 528.97

0.04 Goals prevented 0.13

9.85 Fouls committed 10.25

4.21 Goalkeeper saves 3.19

1.24 Offsides 1.48

17.06 Tackles per match 16.89

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax prediction analysis

Review Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights