Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord

Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2026-08-09 10:15
Sparta Rotterdam
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Feyenoord
Away

Prediction Summary

1
28%
X
24%
2
48%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Sparta Rotterdam (Home)

Goals scored / match1.24
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate47%

Feyenoord (Away)

Goals scored / match1.82
Goals conceded / match1.24
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sparta Rotterdam
LLDLL
Feyenoord
WDWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 76%
41% +1.5 53%
6% +2.5 24%
0% +3.5 12%
0% +4.5 6%
47% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sparta Rotterdam averages 1.24 goals scored at home, while Feyenoord averages 1.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
28%
Draw
24%
Away Win
48%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Sparta Rotterdam(A) 4 - 3 Feyenoord Home
Aug 2025 Sparta Rotterdam 0 - 4 Feyenoord Away
Feb 2025 Sparta Rotterdam(A) 0 - 3 Feyenoord Away
Aug 2024 Sparta Rotterdam 1 - 1 Feyenoord Draw
Feb 2024 Sparta Rotterdam(A) 0 - 2 Feyenoord Away

In the last 5 meetings, Sparta Rotterdam won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Sparta Rotterdam — unbeaten run (home)0
Sparta Rotterdam — scoring streak (home)2
Feyenoord — winless run (away)0
Feyenoord — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sparta Rotterdam Win (1)28%
Draw (X)24%
Feyenoord Win (2)48%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 76%
41% +1.5 53%
6% +2.5 24%
0% +3.5 12%
0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 24%
59% -1.5 47%
94% -2.5 76%
100% -3.5 88%
100% -4.5 94%

Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sparta Rotterdam — scored (home)1.24
Sparta Rotterdam — conceded (home)1.59
Feyenoord — scored (away)1.82
Feyenoord — conceded (away)1.24
Model expected combined goals2.94

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

Sparta Rotterdam — BTTS matches (home)47%
Feyenoord — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sparta Rotterdam (home)

Corners for4.7
Corners against6.5

Feyenoord (away)

Corners for6.6
Corners against3.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sparta Rotterdam
7 11 14 11 7
Feyenoord
5 6 9 10 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Sparta Rotterdam (home)

For1.5

Feyenoord (away)

For2.4

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.577%
Under 19.523%
Over 22.565%
Under 22.535%
Over 25.553%
Under 25.547%
Expected total shots27.26

Sparta Rotterdam

Shots Over 9.572%
Shots Over 11.557%
Shots Over 13.542%
Expected shots13.01
On Target Over 3.564%
On Target Over 4.548%
On Target Over 5.534%
Expected on target4.69

Feyenoord

Shots Over 9.578%
Shots Over 11.565%
Shots Over 13.551%
Expected shots14.25
On Target Over 3.570%
On Target Over 4.555%
On Target Over 5.541%
Expected on target5.17

Shots per Game

Sparta Rotterdam — total shots (home)13.8
Feyenoord — total shots (away)15.1

Shots on Target

Sparta Rotterdam — on target (home)4.9
Feyenoord — on target (away)5.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sparta Rotterdam

Inside the box8.41
Outside the box4.59

Feyenoord

Inside the box11.65
Outside the box5.12

Player Shots Sparta Rotterdam

T. Lauritsen
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target12%
M. Zonneveld
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target9%
M. van Bergen
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Mito
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target16%
A. Oufkir
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Feyenoord

A. Ueda
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target45%
A. Hadj-Moussa
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target40%
S. Steijn
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target14%
J. Moder
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target10%
L. Sauer
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target15%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sparta Rotterdam xG (home)1.34
Feyenoord xG (away)2.03

Average Possession

47.03% Possession 53.09%

Team Comparison Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord

79.41% Pass accuracy 82.24%
396.12 Passes per match 436.91
0.04 Goals prevented 0.12
9.85 Fouls committed 9.76
4.21 Goalkeeper saves 2.62
1.24 Offsides 1.3
17.06 Tackles per match 15.76

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord prediction analysis

Review Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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