Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht

Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2026-08-22 16:45
Sparta Rotterdam
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Utrecht
Away

Prediction Summary

1
37%
X
25%
2
38%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Sparta Rotterdam (Home)

Goals scored / match1.24
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate47%

Utrecht (Away)

Goals scored / match1.33
Goals conceded / match1.61
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sparta Rotterdam
LLDLL
Utrecht
DWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 78%
41% +1.5 44%
6% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sparta Rotterdam averages 1.24 goals scored at home, while Utrecht averages 1.33 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
37%
Draw
25%
Away Win
38%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2026 Sparta Rotterdam(A) 1 - 0 Utrecht Home
Aug 2025 Sparta Rotterdam 2 - 1 Utrecht Home
May 2025 Sparta Rotterdam(A) 1 - 1 Utrecht Draw
Nov 2024 Sparta Rotterdam 1 - 4 Utrecht Away
May 2024 Sparta Rotterdam(A) 1 - 3 Utrecht Away

In the last 5 meetings, Sparta Rotterdam won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Sparta Rotterdam — unbeaten run (home)0
Sparta Rotterdam — scoring streak (home)2
Utrecht — winless run (away)1
Utrecht — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sparta Rotterdam Win (1)37%
Draw (X)25%
Utrecht Win (2)38%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 78%
41% +1.5 44%
6% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 22%
59% -1.5 56%
94% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sparta Rotterdam — scored (home)1.24
Sparta Rotterdam — conceded (home)1.59
Utrecht — scored (away)1.33
Utrecht — conceded (away)1.61
Model expected combined goals2.88

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

Sparta Rotterdam — BTTS matches (home)47%
Utrecht — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)57%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sparta Rotterdam (home)

Corners for4.7
Corners against6.5

Utrecht (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sparta Rotterdam
7 11 14 11 7
Utrecht
12 11 7 15 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.586%
Under 1.514%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Sparta Rotterdam (home)

For1.5

Utrecht (away)

For1.8

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.578%
Under 19.522%
Over 22.566%
Under 22.534%
Over 25.554%
Under 25.546%
Expected total shots27.67

Sparta Rotterdam

Shots Over 9.579%
Shots Over 11.566%
Shots Over 13.552%
Expected shots14.50
On Target Over 3.569%
On Target Over 4.554%
On Target Over 5.540%
Expected on target5.14

Utrecht

Shots Over 9.573%
Shots Over 11.558%
Shots Over 13.543%
Expected shots13.18
On Target Over 3.565%
On Target Over 4.549%
On Target Over 5.535%
Expected on target4.77

Shots per Game

Sparta Rotterdam — total shots (home)13.8
Utrecht — total shots (away)13.2

Shots on Target

Sparta Rotterdam — on target (home)4.9
Utrecht — on target (away)5.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sparta Rotterdam

Inside the box8.41
Outside the box4.59

Utrecht

Inside the box10.39
Outside the box4.89

Player Shots Sparta Rotterdam

T. Lauritsen
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target12%
M. Zonneveld
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target9%
M. van Bergen
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Mito
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target16%
A. Oufkir
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Utrecht

Ángel Alarcón
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
V. Jensen
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target88%
+1.5 On Target13%
G. Zechiël
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target19%
Y. Cathline
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Stepanov
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sparta Rotterdam xG (home)1.34
Utrecht xG (away)1.51

Average Possession

47.03% Possession 46.53%

Team Comparison Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht

79.41% Pass accuracy 78.69%
396.12 Passes per match 398.92
0.04 Goals prevented -0.15
9.85 Fouls committed 10.86
4.21 Goalkeeper saves 3.47
1.24 Offsides 1.25
17.06 Tackles per match 16.39

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht prediction and preview

Preview Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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