What markets are included in the Sport Recife vs Ceara prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Sport Recife vs Ceara prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Sport Recife vs Ceara

Sport Recife vs Ceara prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Serie A 2025-10-15 23:00

Sport Recife

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

39%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Ceara

Away

Prediction Summary

31%

29%

40%

Under 2.5

61%

BTTS No

55%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Sport Recife (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89

Goals conceded / match2.05

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate58%

Ceara (Away)

Goals scored / match0.74

Goals conceded / match1.16

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sport Recife

LLLLL

Ceara

LLDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 53%

26% +1.5 21%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

58% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 39%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sport Recife averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Ceara averages 0.74 goals scored away.

Model Strength

61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

31%

Draw

29%

Away Win

40%

Over 2.5

39%

BTTS Yes

45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 Sport Recife 1 - 1 Ceara Draw

May 2025 Sport Recife(A) 0 - 2 Ceara Away

Oct 2024 Sport Recife 2 - 1 Ceara Home

Jun 2024 Sport Recife(A) 0 - 0 Ceara Draw

Oct 2023 Sport Recife(A) 1 - 2 Ceara Away

In the last 5 meetings, Sport Recife won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Sport Recife — unbeaten run (home)0

Sport Recife — scoring streak (home)0

Ceara — winless run (away)2

Ceara — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sport Recife Win (1)31%

Draw (X)29%

Ceara Win (2)40%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 53%

26% +1.5 21%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 47%

74% -1.5 79%

100% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Sport Recife vs Ceara — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sport Recife — scored (home)0.89

Sport Recife — conceded (home)2.05

Ceara — scored (away)0.74

Ceara — conceded (away)1.16

Model expected combined goals2.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%

No55%

Rate per Team

Sport Recife — BTTS matches (home)58%

Ceara — BTTS matches (away)37%

Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.574%

Under 7.526%

Over 8.566%

Under 8.534%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sport Recife (home)

Corners for5.5

Corners against4.8

Ceara (away)

Corners for3.9

Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sport Recife

12 10 12 8 6

Ceara

8 18 13 7 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.587%

Under 2.513%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Sport Recife (home)

For2.6

Ceara (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Sport Recife — total shots (home)12.0

Ceara — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Sport Recife — on target (home)3.7

Ceara — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sport Recife

Inside the box7.42

Outside the box4.95

Ceara

Inside the box6.87

Outside the box4.95

Player Shots Sport Recife

Derik Lacerda

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target35%

Léo Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target25%

Chrystian Barletta

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target15%

C. Ortíz

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

I. Ramírez

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Ceara

Pedro Raul

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target38%

Éder

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target0%

Pedro Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target7%

A. Galeano

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

Vina

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sport Recife xG (home)0.97

Ceara xG (away)0.96

Average Possession

46.24% Possession 42.03%

Team Comparison Sport Recife vs Ceara

81.37% Pass accuracy 79.03%

375.95 Passes per match 330.84

0.15 Goals prevented 0.17

13.63 Fouls committed 13.61

4.13 Goalkeeper saves 2.97

1.84 Offsides 2.42

15.18 Tackles per match 15.84

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sport Recife vs Ceara prediction analysis

Review Sport Recife vs Ceara with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights