What markets are included in the Sport Recife vs Cruzeiro prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Sport Recife vs Cruzeiro prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Sport Recife vs Cruzeiro

Sport Recife vs Cruzeiro prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-05-11 19:00

Sport Recife

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

23%

Confidence

High

Score

0-0

Cruzeiro

Away

Prediction Summary

42%

34%

24%

Under 2.5

77%

BTTS No

69%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Sport Recife (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89

Goals conceded / match2.05

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate58%

Cruzeiro (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match0.89

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sport Recife

LLLLL

Cruzeiro

LDDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 58%

26% +1.5 32%

0% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

58% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 23%. Model confidence is High.

Sport Recife averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Cruzeiro averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength

77%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

42%

Draw

34%

Away Win

24%

Over 2.5

23%

BTTS Yes

31%

Head-to-Head last 4

Oct 2025 Sport Recife(A) 1 - 1 Cruzeiro Draw

May 2025 Sport Recife 0 - 4 Cruzeiro Away

Oct 2022 Sport Recife 3 - 1 Cruzeiro Home

Jun 2022 Sport Recife(A) 1 - 2 Cruzeiro Away

In the last 4 meetings, Sport Recife won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Sport Recife — unbeaten run (home)0

Sport Recife — scoring streak (home)0

Cruzeiro — winless run (away)3

Cruzeiro — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sport Recife Win (1)42%

Draw (X)34%

Cruzeiro Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 58%

26% +1.5 32%

0% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 42%

74% -1.5 68%

100% -2.5 89%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Sport Recife vs Cruzeiro — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sport Recife — scored (home)0.89

Sport Recife — conceded (home)2.05

Cruzeiro — scored (away)1.05

Cruzeiro — conceded (away)0.89

Model expected combined goals1.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes31%

No69%

Rate per Team

Sport Recife — BTTS matches (home)58%

Cruzeiro — BTTS matches (away)32%

Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.587%

Under 6.513%

Over 7.584%

Under 7.516%

Over 8.579%

Under 8.521%

Over 9.564%

Under 9.536%

Over 10.553%

Under 10.547%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sport Recife (home)

Corners for5.5

Corners against4.8

Cruzeiro (away)

Corners for5.0

Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sport Recife

12 10 12 8 6

Cruzeiro

12 12 13 8 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.587%

Under 2.513%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Sport Recife (home)

For2.6

Cruzeiro (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Sport Recife — total shots (home)12.0

Cruzeiro — total shots (away)12.1

Shots on Target

Sport Recife — on target (home)3.7

Cruzeiro — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sport Recife

Inside the box7.42

Outside the box4.95

Cruzeiro

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box5.82

Player Shots Sport Recife

Derik Lacerda

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target35%

Léo Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target25%

Chrystian Barletta

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target15%

C. Ortíz

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

I. Ramírez

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Cruzeiro

Kaio Jorge

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target79%

+1.5 On Target33%

K. Arroyo

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target25%

Matheus Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target21%

Gabriel Barbosa

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Christian

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sport Recife xG (home)0.97

Cruzeiro xG (away)1.27

Average Possession

46.24% Possession 47.87%

Team Comparison Sport Recife vs Cruzeiro

81.37% Pass accuracy 81.05%

375.95 Passes per match 363.13

0.15 Goals prevented 0.12

13.63 Fouls committed 13.66

4.13 Goalkeeper saves 3.18

1.84 Offsides 1.5

15.18 Tackles per match 16.32

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sport Recife vs Cruzeiro prediction analysis

Review Sport Recife vs Cruzeiro with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights