Prediction Analysis: Sport Recife vs Cuiaba
Sport Recife vs Cuiaba prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie B
2026-07-27
22:30
Sport Recife
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
62%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Cuiaba
Away
Prediction Summary
1
49%
X
23%
2
28%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Sport Recife (Home)
Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate100%
Cuiaba (Away)
Goals scored / match0.67
Goals conceded / match1.67
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate33%
Team Form last 5 matches
Sport Recife
DDDLL
Cuiaba
LLDWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
100%
+0.5
33%
67%
+1.5
33%
33%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
100%
BTTS
33%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.
Sport Recife averages 2 goals scored at home, while Cuiaba averages 0.67 goals scored away.
Model Strength
62%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
49%
Draw
23%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
Head-to-Head last 4
Oct 2021
Sport Recife(A)
0 - 1
Cuiaba
Away
Jun 2021
Sport Recife
0 - 0
Cuiaba
Draw
Oct 2019
Sport Recife
2 - 0
Cuiaba
Home
Jul 2019
Sport Recife(A)
1 - 1
Cuiaba
Draw
In the last 4 meetings, Sport Recife won 1, drew 2 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Sport Recife — unbeaten run (home)3
Sport Recife — scoring streak (home)3
Cuiaba — winless run (away)3
Cuiaba — clean sheets (away, last 3)0 of 3
1X2 Probability model
Sport Recife Win (1)49%
Draw (X)23%
Cuiaba Win (2)28%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
100%
+0.5
33%
67%
+1.5
33%
33%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
0%
-0.5
67%
33%
-1.5
67%
67%
-2.5
100%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Sport Recife vs Cuiaba — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Sport Recife — scored (home)2
Sport Recife — conceded (home)2
Cuiaba — scored (away)0.67
Cuiaba — conceded (away)1.67
Model expected combined goals3.17
Both Teams To Score
Yes62%
No38%
Rate per Team
Sport Recife — BTTS matches (home)100%
Cuiaba — BTTS matches (away)33%
Combined (simple average)66.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10
Per-Team Corners own matches
Sport Recife (home)
Corners for6.5
Corners against2.5
Cuiaba (away)
Corners for8.3
Corners against3.3
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Sport Recife
10
8
6
8
9
Cuiaba
9
9
13
8
9
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.5100%
Under 2.50%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5
Yellow Cards per Team
Sport Recife (home)
For4.0
Cuiaba (away)
For2.0
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.576%
Under 19.524%
Over 22.562%
Under 22.538%
Over 25.547%
Under 25.553%
Expected total shots25.59
Sport Recife
Shots Over 9.581%
Shots Over 11.566%
Shots Over 13.550%
Expected shots13.98
On Target Over 3.562%
On Target Over 4.543%
On Target Over 5.528%
Expected on target4.34
Cuiaba
Shots Over 9.566%
Shots Over 11.547%
Shots Over 13.531%
Expected shots11.61
On Target Over 3.550%
On Target Over 4.531%
On Target Over 5.518%
Expected on target3.69
Shots per Game
Sport Recife — total shots (home)16.5
Cuiaba — total shots (away)13.7
Shots on Target
Sport Recife — on target (home)5.0
Cuiaba — on target (away)5.0
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Sport Recife
Inside the box9.8
Outside the box3.8
Cuiaba
Inside the box8.5
Outside the box6.83
Player Shots Sport Recife
Biel
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Chrystian Barletta
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
Perotti
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target20%
Marlon
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
Iury Castilho
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Cuiaba
Vinicius Peixoto
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Rodrigo Farofa
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target20%
Marlon
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Calebe
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Railan
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Sport Recife xG (home)1.45
Cuiaba xG (away)0.98
Average Possession
53.6%
Possession
53.33%
Team Comparison Sport Recife vs Cuiaba
85.17%
Pass accuracy
81.75%
400
Passes per match
384
0.28
Goals prevented
-0.25
15.2
Fouls committed
13
3.4
Goalkeeper saves
1.33
0.2
Offsides
1.2
13
Tackles per match
11.17
League average xG this season is 1.13 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Sport Recife vs Cuiaba prediction analysis
Review Sport Recife vs Cuiaba with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie B.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights