What markets are included in the Sport Recife vs Gremio prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Sport Recife vs Gremio prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Sport Recife vs Gremio

Sport Recife vs Gremio prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-12-07 19:00

Sport Recife

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

55%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Gremio

Away

Prediction Summary

35%

25%

40%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS Yes

58%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Sport Recife (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89

Goals conceded / match2.05

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate58%

Gremio (Away)

Goals scored / match1.21

Goals conceded / match1.74

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sport Recife

LLLLL

Gremio

WLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 68%

26% +1.5 32%

0% +2.5 16%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

58% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sport Recife averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Gremio averages 1.21 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

35%

Draw

25%

Away Win

40%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS Yes

58%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Sport Recife 0 - 4 Gremio Away

Aug 2025 Sport Recife(A) 1 - 0 Gremio Home

Sep 2022 Sport Recife(A) 0 - 3 Gremio Away

Jun 2022 Sport Recife 0 - 0 Gremio Draw

Oct 2021 Sport Recife(A) 2 - 1 Gremio Home

In the last 5 meetings, Sport Recife won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Sport Recife — unbeaten run (home)0

Sport Recife — scoring streak (home)0

Gremio — winless run (away)0

Gremio — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sport Recife Win (1)35%

Draw (X)25%

Gremio Win (2)40%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 68%

26% +1.5 32%

0% +2.5 16%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 32%

74% -1.5 68%

100% -2.5 84%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Sport Recife vs Gremio — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sport Recife — scored (home)0.89

Sport Recife — conceded (home)2.05

Gremio — scored (away)1.21

Gremio — conceded (away)1.74

Model expected combined goals2.89

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%

No42%

Rate per Team

Sport Recife — BTTS matches (home)58%

Gremio — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.589%

Under 6.511%

Over 7.587%

Under 7.513%

Over 8.571%

Under 8.529%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sport Recife (home)

Corners for5.5

Corners against4.8

Gremio (away)

Corners for3.7

Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sport Recife

12 10 12 8 6

Gremio

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.592%

Under 2.58%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Sport Recife (home)

For2.6

Gremio (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Sport Recife — total shots (home)12.0

Gremio — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Sport Recife — on target (home)3.7

Gremio — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sport Recife

Inside the box7.42

Outside the box4.95

Gremio

Inside the box7.21

Outside the box5.03

Player Shots Sport Recife

Derik Lacerda

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target35%

Léo Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target25%

Chrystian Barletta

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target15%

C. Ortíz

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

I. Ramírez

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Gremio

Carlos Vinícius

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target36%

M. Braithwaite

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target17%

F. Amuzu

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target18%

André Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

M. Arezo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sport Recife xG (home)0.97

Gremio xG (away)1.29

Average Possession

46.24% Possession 45.16%

Team Comparison Sport Recife vs Gremio

81.37% Pass accuracy 82.32%

375.95 Passes per match 379.66

0.15 Goals prevented 0.22

13.63 Fouls committed 13.37

4.13 Goalkeeper saves 3.41

1.84 Offsides 1.08

15.18 Tackles per match 17.37

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sport Recife vs Gremio prediction analysis

Review Sport Recife vs Gremio with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights