Prediction Analysis: Sport Recife vs Internacional
Sport Recife vs Internacional prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie A
2025-05-25
19:00
Sport Recife
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
43%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Internacional
Away
Prediction Summary
1
33%
X
28%
2
40%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Sport Recife (Home)
Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match2.05
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate58%
Internacional (Away)
Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.95
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%
Team Form last 5 matches
Sport Recife
LLLLL
Internacional
WLLDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
63%
+0.5
63%
26%
+1.5
21%
0%
+2.5
5%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
58%
BTTS
63%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.
Sport Recife averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Internacional averages 0.89 goals scored away.
Model Strength
57%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
33%
Draw
28%
Away Win
40%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
Head-to-Head last 5
Oct 2025
Sport Recife(A)
0 - 2
Internacional
Away
May 2025
Sport Recife
1 - 1
Internacional
Draw
Sep 2021
Sport Recife
0 - 1
Internacional
Away
May 2021
Sport Recife(A)
2 - 2
Internacional
Draw
Feb 2021
Sport Recife(A)
2 - 1
Internacional
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Sport Recife won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Sport Recife — unbeaten run (home)0
Sport Recife — scoring streak (home)0
Internacional — winless run (away)2
Internacional — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Sport Recife Win (1)33%
Draw (X)28%
Internacional Win (2)40%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
63%
+0.5
63%
26%
+1.5
21%
0%
+2.5
5%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
37%
-0.5
37%
74%
-1.5
79%
100%
-2.5
95%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Sport Recife vs Internacional — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Sport Recife — scored (home)0.89
Sport Recife — conceded (home)2.05
Internacional — scored (away)0.89
Internacional — conceded (away)1.95
Model expected combined goals2.4
Both Teams To Score
Yes49%
No51%
Rate per Team
Sport Recife — BTTS matches (home)58%
Internacional — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)60.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.589%
Under 6.511%
Over 7.584%
Under 7.516%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90
Per-Team Corners own matches
Sport Recife (home)
Corners for5.5
Corners against4.8
Internacional (away)
Corners for4.2
Corners against5.1
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Sport Recife
12
10
12
8
6
Internacional
8
5
7
13
6
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4
Yellow Cards per Team
Sport Recife (home)
For2.6
Internacional (away)
For2.3
Shots per Game
Sport Recife — total shots (home)12.0
Internacional — total shots (away)10.4
Shots on Target
Sport Recife — on target (home)3.7
Internacional — on target (away)3.4
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Sport Recife
Inside the box7.42
Outside the box4.95
Internacional
Inside the box8.08
Outside the box5.5
Player Shots Sport Recife
Derik Lacerda
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target35%
Léo Pereira
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target25%
Chrystian Barletta
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target15%
C. Ortíz
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
I. Ramírez
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Internacional
J. Carbonero
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target13%
Alan Patrick
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ricardo Mathias
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target23%
Gustavo Prado
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
Tabata
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Sport Recife xG (home)0.97
Internacional xG (away)1.4
Average Possession
46.24%
Possession
51.08%
Team Comparison Sport Recife vs Internacional
81.37%
Pass accuracy
82.63%
375.95
Passes per match
429.03
0.15
Goals prevented
-0.13
13.63
Fouls committed
14.89
4.13
Goalkeeper saves
2.61
1.84
Offsides
1.78
15.18
Tackles per match
18.39
League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Sport Recife vs Internacional prediction analysis
Review Sport Recife vs Internacional with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights