Prediction Analysis: Sport Recife vs Londrina
Sport Recife vs Londrina prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie B
2026-08-14
23:30
Sport Recife
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
68%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Londrina
Away
Prediction Summary
1
42%
X
22%
2
35%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
68%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Sport Recife (Home)
Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate100%
Londrina (Away)
Goals scored / match1.33
Goals conceded / match1.67
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate100%
Team Form last 5 matches
Sport Recife
DDDLL
Londrina
LDDWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
100%
+0.5
100%
67%
+1.5
33%
33%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
100%
BTTS
100%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 68%. Model confidence is Medium.
Sport Recife averages 2 goals scored at home, while Londrina averages 1.33 goals scored away.
Model Strength
68%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
42%
Draw
22%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
68%
Head-to-Head last 5
Sep 2023
Sport Recife
4 - 0
Londrina
Home
Jun 2023
Sport Recife(A)
2 - 1
Londrina
Home
Oct 2022
Sport Recife(A)
1 - 2
Londrina
Away
Jul 2022
Sport Recife
2 - 0
Londrina
Home
Sep 2019
Sport Recife(A)
2 - 1
Londrina
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Sport Recife won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Sport Recife — unbeaten run (home)3
Sport Recife — scoring streak (home)3
Londrina — winless run (away)3
Londrina — clean sheets (away, last 3)0 of 3
1X2 Probability model
Sport Recife Win (1)42%
Draw (X)22%
Londrina Win (2)35%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
100%
+0.5
100%
67%
+1.5
33%
33%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
0%
-0.5
0%
33%
-1.5
67%
67%
-2.5
100%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Sport Recife vs Londrina — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Sport Recife — scored (home)2
Sport Recife — conceded (home)2
Londrina — scored (away)1.33
Londrina — conceded (away)1.67
Model expected combined goals3.5
Both Teams To Score
Yes68%
No32%
Rate per Team
Sport Recife — BTTS matches (home)100%
Londrina — BTTS matches (away)100%
Combined (simple average)100%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10
Per-Team Corners own matches
Sport Recife (home)
Corners for6.5
Corners against2.5
Londrina (away)
Corners for4.0
Corners against7.0
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Sport Recife
10
8
6
8
9
Londrina
9
13
9
11
15
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.9
Yellow Cards per Team
Sport Recife (home)
For4.0
Londrina (away)
For2.7
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.578%
Under 19.522%
Over 22.565%
Under 22.535%
Over 25.550%
Under 25.550%
Expected total shots26.21
Sport Recife
Shots Over 9.586%
Shots Over 11.574%
Shots Over 13.560%
Expected shots15.33
On Target Over 3.568%
On Target Over 4.551%
On Target Over 5.534%
Expected on target4.75
Londrina
Shots Over 9.560%
Shots Over 11.541%
Shots Over 13.525%
Expected shots10.89
On Target Over 3.543%
On Target Over 4.525%
On Target Over 5.513%
Expected on target3.35
Shots per Game
Sport Recife — total shots (home)16.5
Londrina — total shots (away)9.7
Shots on Target
Sport Recife — on target (home)5.0
Londrina — on target (away)3.0
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Sport Recife
Inside the box9.8
Outside the box3.8
Londrina
Inside the box6.33
Outside the box6.33
Player Shots Sport Recife
Biel
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Chrystian Barletta
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
Perotti
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target20%
Marlon
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
Iury Castilho
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Londrina
Bruno Santos
Shots on Target/Game2.5
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target100%
Heron
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
João Vitor
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
Gilberto
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
Gabriel Lacerda
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Sport Recife xG (home)1.45
Londrina xG (away)1.42
Average Possession
53.6%
Possession
44.57%
Team Comparison Sport Recife vs Londrina
85.17%
Pass accuracy
77.84%
400
Passes per match
296
0.28
Goals prevented
-0.49
15.2
Fouls committed
12.29
3.4
Goalkeeper saves
2.14
0.2
Offsides
1.14
13
Tackles per match
14.29
League average xG this season is 1.13 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Sport Recife vs Londrina prediction and preview
Preview Sport Recife vs Londrina with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights