What markets are included in the Sport Recife vs Mirassol prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Sport Recife vs Mirassol prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Sport Recife vs Mirassol

Sport Recife vs Mirassol prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-10-25 21:30

Sport Recife

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

42%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Mirassol

Away

Prediction Summary

31%

28%

42%

Under 2.5

58%

BTTS No

52%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Sport Recife (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89

Goals conceded / match2.05

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate58%

Mirassol (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11

Goals conceded / match1.16

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sport Recife

LLLLL

Mirassol

DWLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 74%

26% +1.5 32%

0% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

58% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sport Recife averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Mirassol averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

31%

Draw

28%

Away Win

42%

Over 2.5

42%

BTTS Yes

48%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 Sport Recife 1 - 2 Mirassol Away

Jun 2025 Sport Recife(A) 0 - 1 Mirassol Away

Sep 2024 Sport Recife(A) 0 - 0 Mirassol Draw

Jun 2024 Sport Recife 1 - 0 Mirassol Home

Nov 2023 Sport Recife(A) 1 - 2 Mirassol Away

In the last 5 meetings, Sport Recife won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Sport Recife — unbeaten run (home)0

Sport Recife — scoring streak (home)0

Mirassol — winless run (away)0

Mirassol — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sport Recife Win (1)31%

Draw (X)28%

Mirassol Win (2)42%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 74%

26% +1.5 32%

0% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 26%

74% -1.5 68%

100% -2.5 95%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Sport Recife vs Mirassol — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sport Recife — scored (home)0.89

Sport Recife — conceded (home)2.05

Mirassol — scored (away)1.11

Mirassol — conceded (away)1.16

Model expected combined goals2.37

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%

No52%

Rate per Team

Sport Recife — BTTS matches (home)58%

Mirassol — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.598%

Under 5.52%

Over 6.595%

Under 6.55%

Over 7.590%

Under 7.510%

Over 8.569%

Under 8.531%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.542%

Under 10.558%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sport Recife (home)

Corners for5.5

Corners against4.8

Mirassol (away)

Corners for4.7

Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sport Recife

12 10 12 8 6

Mirassol

12 18 12 11 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.590%

Under 2.510%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Sport Recife (home)

For2.6

Mirassol (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Sport Recife — total shots (home)12.0

Mirassol — total shots (away)13.0

Shots on Target

Sport Recife — on target (home)3.7

Mirassol — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sport Recife

Inside the box7.42

Outside the box4.95

Mirassol

Inside the box8.61

Outside the box5.16

Player Shots Sport Recife

Derik Lacerda

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target35%

Léo Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target25%

Chrystian Barletta

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target15%

C. Ortíz

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

I. Ramírez

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Mirassol

Reinaldo

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target21%

Renato Marques

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Gabriel

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target12%

Cristian

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

Negueba

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sport Recife xG (home)0.97

Mirassol xG (away)1.49

Average Possession

46.24% Possession 50.89%

Team Comparison Sport Recife vs Mirassol

81.37% Pass accuracy 83.97%

375.95 Passes per match 422.24

0.15 Goals prevented -0.08

13.63 Fouls committed 12.18

4.13 Goalkeeper saves 3.46

1.84 Offsides 1.84

15.18 Tackles per match 15.13

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sport Recife vs Mirassol prediction analysis

Review Sport Recife vs Mirassol with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights