What markets are included in the Sport Recife vs Sao Paulo prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Sport Recife vs Sao Paulo prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Sport Recife vs Sao Paulo

Sport Recife vs Sao Paulo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-08-16 21:30

Sport Recife

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

34%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-1

Sao Paulo

Away

Prediction Summary

27%

30%

43%

Under 2.5

66%

BTTS No

60%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Sport Recife (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89

Goals conceded / match2.05

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate58%

Sao Paulo (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84

Goals conceded / match1.58

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sport Recife

LLLLL

Sao Paulo

LWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 53%

26% +1.5 32%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

58% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 34%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sport Recife averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Sao Paulo averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength

66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

27%

Draw

30%

Away Win

43%

Over 2.5

34%

BTTS Yes

40%

Head-to-Head last 5

Aug 2025 Sport Recife 2 - 2 Sao Paulo Draw

Mar 2025 Sport Recife(A) 0 - 0 Sao Paulo Draw

Jun 2023 Sport Recife(A) 3 - 1 Sao Paulo Home

May 2023 Sport Recife 0 - 2 Sao Paulo Away

Nov 2021 Sport Recife(A) 0 - 2 Sao Paulo Away

In the last 5 meetings, Sport Recife won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Sport Recife — unbeaten run (home)0

Sport Recife — scoring streak (home)0

Sao Paulo — winless run (away)3

Sao Paulo — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sport Recife Win (1)27%

Draw (X)30%

Sao Paulo Win (2)43%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 53%

26% +1.5 32%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 47%

74% -1.5 68%

100% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Sport Recife vs Sao Paulo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sport Recife — scored (home)0.89

Sport Recife — conceded (home)2.05

Sao Paulo — scored (away)0.84

Sao Paulo — conceded (away)1.58

Model expected combined goals2.05

Both Teams To Score

Yes40%

No60%

Rate per Team

Sport Recife — BTTS matches (home)58%

Sao Paulo — BTTS matches (away)37%

Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.592%

Under 6.58%

Over 7.584%

Under 7.516%

Over 8.571%

Under 8.529%

Over 9.556%

Under 9.544%

Over 10.542%

Under 10.558%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sport Recife (home)

Corners for5.5

Corners against4.8

Sao Paulo (away)

Corners for4.5

Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sport Recife

12 10 12 8 6

Sao Paulo

9 11 7 13 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.590%

Under 2.510%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Sport Recife (home)

For2.6

Sao Paulo (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Sport Recife — total shots (home)12.0

Sao Paulo — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Sport Recife — on target (home)3.7

Sao Paulo — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sport Recife

Inside the box7.42

Outside the box4.95

Sao Paulo

Inside the box7.11

Outside the box4.74

Player Shots Sport Recife

Derik Lacerda

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target35%

Léo Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target25%

Chrystian Barletta

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target15%

C. Ortíz

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

I. Ramírez

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Sao Paulo

Luciano

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target19%

G. Tapia

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target15%

J. Dinenno

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target14%

Ferreira

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target4%

André Silva

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sport Recife xG (home)0.97

Sao Paulo xG (away)1.15

Average Possession

46.24% Possession 52.13%

Team Comparison Sport Recife vs Sao Paulo

81.37% Pass accuracy 83.71%

375.95 Passes per match 438.63

0.15 Goals prevented 0.21

13.63 Fouls committed 14.24

4.13 Goalkeeper saves 3.21

1.84 Offsides 1.47

15.18 Tackles per match 17.21

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sport Recife vs Sao Paulo prediction analysis

Review Sport Recife vs Sao Paulo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights