Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sporting CP B vs Chaves

Sporting CP B vs Chaves prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Segunda Liga 2026-08-16 15:00
Sporting CP B
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Chaves
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
26%
2
34%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Sporting CP B (Home)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match1.12
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate35%

Chaves (Away)

Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sporting CP B
DLLLL
Chaves
WLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

59% +0.5 71%
35% +1.5 53%
29% +2.5 18%
12% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
35% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Low.

Sporting CP B averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while Chaves averages 1.41 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
26%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2026 Sporting CP B 0 - 1 Chaves Away
Nov 2025 Sporting CP B(A) 0 - 0 Chaves Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Sporting CP B won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Sporting CP B — unbeaten run (home)0
Sporting CP B — scoring streak (home)0
Chaves — winless run (away)0
Chaves — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sporting CP B Win (1)40%
Draw (X)26%
Chaves Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

59% +0.5 71%
35% +1.5 53%
29% +2.5 18%
12% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

41% -0.5 29%
65% -1.5 47%
71% -2.5 82%
88% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Sporting CP B vs Chaves — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sporting CP B — scored (home)1.35
Sporting CP B — conceded (home)1.12
Chaves — scored (away)1.41
Chaves — conceded (away)1.41
Model expected combined goals2.65

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Sporting CP B — BTTS matches (home)35%
Chaves — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)38%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.551%
Under 9.549%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sporting CP B (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.8

Chaves (away)

Corners for3.1
Corners against3.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sporting CP B
0 9 0 0 0
Chaves
5 11 0 0 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.593%
Under 2.57%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Sporting CP B (home)

For2.2

Chaves (away)

For2.5

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.541%
Under 19.559%
Over 22.531%
Under 22.569%
Over 25.523%
Under 25.577%
Expected total shots18.84

Sporting CP B

Shots Over 9.541%
Shots Over 11.530%
Shots Over 13.520%
Expected shots9.28
On Target Over 3.543%
On Target Over 4.528%
On Target Over 5.517%
Expected on target3.44

Chaves

Shots Over 9.543%
Shots Over 11.531%
Shots Over 13.522%
Expected shots9.56
On Target Over 3.541%
On Target Over 4.525%
On Target Over 5.515%
Expected on target3.30

Shots per Game

Sporting CP B — total shots (home)10.3
Chaves — total shots (away)12.9

Shots on Target

Sporting CP B — on target (home)2.8
Chaves — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sporting CP B

Inside the box6.5
Outside the box3.7

Chaves

Inside the box8.31
Outside the box6.46

Player Shots Sporting CP B

Lucas Rodrigues Carvalho Anjos
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target20%
Samuel Justo
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Bruno Ramos
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%
Mauro Couto
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Chaves

Roberto
Shots on Target/Game2.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
André Rodrigues
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
Reinaldo
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
David Kusso
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
R. Esajas
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sporting CP B xG (home)0
Chaves xG (away)0

Average Possession

54.5% Possession 55.08%

Team Comparison Sporting CP B vs Chaves

83% Pass accuracy 83.67%
429.6 Passes per match 424
0 Goals prevented 0
12.9 Fouls committed 12.77
2.3 Goalkeeper saves 1.77
2.6 Offsides 1.85
14 Tackles per match 17.29
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sporting CP B vs Chaves prediction analysis

Review Sporting CP B vs Chaves with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Segunda Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Segunda Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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