What markets are included in the Sporting CP vs Alverca prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Sporting CP vs Alverca prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Sporting CP vs Alverca

Sporting CP vs Alverca prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-10-31 20:15

Sporting CP

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

68%

Confidence

Medium

Score

2-1

Alverca

Away

Prediction Summary

60%

20%

Over 2.5

68%

BTTS Yes

64%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Sporting CP (Home)

Goals scored / match3

Goals conceded / match0.65

Over 2.5 rate59%

BTTS rate41%

Alverca (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.71

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sporting CP

WWWDD

Alverca

LDLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 65%

76% +1.5 29%

59% +2.5 6%

35% +3.5 0%

18% +4.5 0%

41% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 68%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sporting CP averages 3 goals scored at home, while Alverca averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

60%

Draw

20%

Away Win

20%

Over 2.5

68%

BTTS Yes

64%

Head-to-Head last 4

Mar 2026 Sporting CP(A) 4 - 1 Alverca Home

Oct 2025 Sporting CP 2 - 0 Alverca Home

Oct 2025 Sporting CP 5 - 1 Alverca Home

Oct 2019 Sporting CP(A) 0 - 2 Alverca Away

In the last 4 meetings, Sporting CP won 3, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Sporting CP — unbeaten run (home)3

Sporting CP — scoring streak (home)17

Alverca — winless run (away)3

Alverca — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sporting CP Win (1)60%

Draw (X)20%

Alverca Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 65%

76% +1.5 29%

59% +2.5 6%

35% +3.5 0%

18% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 35%

24% -1.5 71%

41% -2.5 94%

65% -3.5 100%

82% -4.5 100%

Sporting CP vs Alverca — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sporting CP — scored (home)3

Sporting CP — conceded (home)0.65

Alverca — scored (away)1

Alverca — conceded (away)1.71

Model expected combined goals3.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes64%

No36%

Rate per Team

Sporting CP — BTTS matches (home)41%

Alverca — BTTS matches (away)59%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.588%

Under 6.512%

Over 7.577%

Under 7.523%

Over 8.565%

Under 8.535%

Over 9.556%

Under 9.544%

Over 10.530%

Under 10.570%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sporting CP (home)

Corners for6.2

Corners against2.9

Alverca (away)

Corners for4.1

Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sporting CP

9 10 8 11 7

Alverca

12 9 9 8 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Sporting CP (home)

For1.5

Alverca (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Sporting CP — total shots (home)19.1

Alverca — total shots (away)8.7

Shots on Target

Sporting CP — on target (home)7.5

Alverca — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sporting CP

Inside the box11.82

Outside the box5.74

Alverca

Inside the box6.15

Outside the box3.5

Player Shots Sporting CP

L. Suárez

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target91%

+1.5 On Target50%

Pote

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

C. Harder

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target75%

+1.5 On Target25%

Geny Catamo

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target24%

Trincão

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target15%

Player Shots Alverca

Figueiredo

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target15%

M. Milovanović

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target19%

Sandro Lima

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target3%

Tiago Rafael Fernandes Leiite

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target11%

Lincoln

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sporting CP xG (home)2.13

Alverca xG (away)1.2

Average Possession

61.85% Possession 44.85%

Team Comparison Sporting CP vs Alverca

87.56% Pass accuracy 80%

544.06 Passes per match 364.94

-0.21 Goals prevented 0.07

12.24 Fouls committed 12.53

2.29 Goalkeeper saves 2.88

1.62 Offsides 1.22

15.76 Tackles per match 16.18

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sporting CP vs Alverca prediction analysis

Review Sporting CP vs Alverca with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights