Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sporting CP vs AVS

Sporting CP vs AVS prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-12-13 20:30
Sporting CP
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
66%
Confidence
High
Score
2-0
AVS
Away

Prediction Summary

1
83%
X
11%
2
5%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS No
58%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Sporting CP (Home)

Goals scored / match3
Goals conceded / match0.65
Over 2.5 rate59%
BTTS rate41%

AVS (Away)

Goals scored / match0.71
Goals conceded / match2.35
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sporting CP
WWWDD
AVS
DWWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 41%
76% +1.5 24%
59% +2.5 6%
35% +3.5 0%
18% +4.5 0%
41% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 66%. Model confidence is High.

Sporting CP averages 3 goals scored at home, while AVS averages 0.71 goals scored away.

Model Strength
83%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
83%
Draw
11%
Away Win
5%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS Yes
42%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Sporting CP(A) 1 - 1 AVS Draw
Feb 2026 Sporting CP 3 - 2 AVS Home
Dec 2025 Sporting CP 6 - 0 AVS Home
Feb 2025 Sporting CP(A) 2 - 2 AVS Draw
Sep 2024 Sporting CP 3 - 0 AVS Home

In the last 5 meetings, Sporting CP won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Sporting CP — unbeaten run (home)3
Sporting CP — scoring streak (home)17
AVS — winless run (away)1
AVS — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sporting CP Win (1)83%
Draw (X)11%
AVS Win (2)5%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 41%
76% +1.5 24%
59% +2.5 6%
35% +3.5 0%
18% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 59%
24% -1.5 76%
41% -2.5 94%
65% -3.5 100%
82% -4.5 100%

Sporting CP vs AVS — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sporting CP — scored (home)3
Sporting CP — conceded (home)0.65
AVS — scored (away)0.71
AVS — conceded (away)2.35
Model expected combined goals3.42

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%
No58%

Rate per Team

Sporting CP — BTTS matches (home)41%
AVS — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)41%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.536%
Under 10.564%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sporting CP (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against2.9

AVS (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sporting CP
9 10 8 11 7
AVS
13 9 14 10 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.559%
Under 2.541%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Sporting CP (home)

For1.5

AVS (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Sporting CP — total shots (home)19.1
AVS — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

Sporting CP — on target (home)7.5
AVS — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sporting CP

Inside the box11.82
Outside the box5.74

AVS

Inside the box6
Outside the box5.03

Player Shots Sporting CP

L. Suárez
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target91%
+1.5 On Target50%
Pote
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
C. Harder
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
Geny Catamo
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target24%
Trincão
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target15%

Player Shots AVS

Nenê
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target10%
Pedro Lima
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target8%
Ó. Perea
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target8%
D. Duarte
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target0%
B. Akinsola
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sporting CP xG (home)2.13
AVS xG (away)0.94

Average Possession

61.85% Possession 39.21%

Team Comparison Sporting CP vs AVS

87.56% Pass accuracy 72.74%
544.06 Passes per match 298.79
-0.21 Goals prevented -0.11
12.24 Fouls committed 13.76
2.29 Goalkeeper saves 3.44
1.62 Offsides 1.52
15.76 Tackles per match 17.09

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sporting CP vs AVS prediction analysis

Review Sporting CP vs AVS with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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