Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sporting CP vs Farense

Sporting CP vs Farense prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-02-02 18:00
Sporting CP
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
38%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Farense
Away

Prediction Summary

1
65%
X
23%
2
11%
Under 2.5
62%
BTTS No
67%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Sporting CP (Home)

Goals scored / match2.35
Goals conceded / match0.76
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate59%

Farense (Away)

Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match1.29
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sporting CP
WDWWW
Farense
LWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 59%
82% +1.5 29%
47% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sporting CP averages 2.35 goals scored at home, while Farense averages 0.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength
67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
65%
Draw
23%
Away Win
11%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS Yes
33%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2025 Sporting CP 3 - 1 Farense Home
Aug 2024 Sporting CP(A) 5 - 0 Farense Home
Mar 2024 Sporting CP 3 - 2 Farense Home
Nov 2023 Sporting CP 4 - 2 Farense Home
Sep 2023 Sporting CP(A) 3 - 2 Farense Home

In the last 5 meetings, Sporting CP won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Sporting CP — unbeaten run (home)11
Sporting CP — scoring streak (home)11
Farense — winless run (away)0
Farense — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sporting CP Win (1)65%
Draw (X)23%
Farense Win (2)11%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 59%
82% +1.5 29%
47% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 41%
18% -1.5 71%
53% -2.5 100%
94% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

Sporting CP vs Farense — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sporting CP — scored (home)2.35
Sporting CP — conceded (home)0.76
Farense — scored (away)0.88
Farense — conceded (away)1.29
Model expected combined goals2.19

Both Teams To Score

Yes33%
No67%

Rate per Team

Sporting CP — BTTS matches (home)59%
Farense — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.559%
Under 9.541%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sporting CP (home)

Corners for7.1
Corners against2.8

Farense (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against7.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sporting CP
6 8 11 8 8
Farense
8 5 14 19 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Sporting CP (home)

For1.9

Farense (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Sporting CP — total shots (home)18.9
Farense — total shots (away)9.8

Shots on Target

Sporting CP — on target (home)6.6
Farense — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sporting CP

Inside the box12.56
Outside the box5.79

Farense

Inside the box6.65
Outside the box4.68

Player Shots Sporting CP

V. Gyökeres
Shots on Target/Game2.8
+0.5 On Target88%
+1.5 On Target70%
C. Harder
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target14%
Trincão
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target29%
M. Hjulmand
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target4%
Pote
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Farense

M. Belloumi
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target67%
Y. Njie
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target7%
Rony Lopes
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
Darío Poveda
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target5%
Tómané
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sporting CP xG (home)2.14
Farense xG (away)0.9

Average Possession

60.44% Possession 40.79%

Team Comparison Sporting CP vs Farense

87.03% Pass accuracy 71.71%
520.47 Passes per match 293.85
-0.26 Goals prevented 0.28
11.5 Fouls committed 15.21
1.41 Goalkeeper saves 3.09
1.16 Offsides 1.97
16 Tackles per match 17.56

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sporting CP vs Farense prediction analysis

Review Sporting CP vs Farense with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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