Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente

Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-05-04 19:30
Sporting CP
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-0
GIL Vicente
Away

Prediction Summary

1
64%
X
20%
2
15%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Sporting CP (Home)

Goals scored / match2.35
Goals conceded / match0.76
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate59%

GIL Vicente (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sporting CP
WDWWW
GIL Vicente
DDLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 65%
82% +1.5 18%
47% +2.5 12%
6% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sporting CP averages 2.35 goals scored at home, while GIL Vicente averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
64%
Draw
20%
Away Win
15%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Sporting CP 3 - 0 GIL Vicente Home
Jan 2026 Sporting CP(A) 1 - 1 GIL Vicente Draw
May 2025 Sporting CP 2 - 1 GIL Vicente Home
Feb 2025 Sporting CP(A) 1 - 0 GIL Vicente Home
Dec 2024 Sporting CP(A) 0 - 0 GIL Vicente Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Sporting CP won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Sporting CP — unbeaten run (home)11
Sporting CP — scoring streak (home)11
GIL Vicente — winless run (away)2
GIL Vicente — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sporting CP Win (1)64%
Draw (X)20%
GIL Vicente Win (2)15%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 65%
82% +1.5 18%
47% +2.5 12%
6% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 35%
18% -1.5 82%
53% -2.5 88%
94% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sporting CP — scored (home)2.35
Sporting CP — conceded (home)0.76
GIL Vicente — scored (away)0.94
GIL Vicente — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.9

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

Sporting CP — BTTS matches (home)59%
GIL Vicente — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.576%
Under 7.524%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sporting CP (home)

Corners for7.1
Corners against2.8

GIL Vicente (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sporting CP
6 8 11 8 8
GIL Vicente
9 5 11 5 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Sporting CP (home)

For1.9

GIL Vicente (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Sporting CP — total shots (home)18.9
GIL Vicente — total shots (away)7.8

Shots on Target

Sporting CP — on target (home)6.6
GIL Vicente — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sporting CP

Inside the box12.56
Outside the box5.79

GIL Vicente

Inside the box6.09
Outside the box3.53

Player Shots Sporting CP

V. Gyökeres
Shots on Target/Game2.8
+0.5 On Target88%
+1.5 On Target70%
C. Harder
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target14%
Trincão
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target29%
M. Hjulmand
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target4%
Pote
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots GIL Vicente

A. Bamba
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
Pablo
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target5%
K. Fujimoto
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target13%
T. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target8%
Félix Correia
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sporting CP xG (home)2.14
GIL Vicente xG (away)0.94

Average Possession

60.44% Possession 50.85%

Team Comparison Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente

87.03% Pass accuracy 81.62%
520.47 Passes per match 437.18
-0.26 Goals prevented -0.1
11.5 Fouls committed 11.62
1.41 Goalkeeper saves 2.71
1.16 Offsides 1.53
16 Tackles per match 15.71

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente prediction analysis

Review Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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