What markets are included in the Sporting CP vs Guimaraes prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Sporting CP vs Guimaraes prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Sporting CP vs Guimaraes

Sporting CP vs Guimaraes prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2026-08-14 19:15

Sporting CP

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Home Win

Pick

Sporting CP

Probability

76%

Confidence

High

Score

2-0

Guimaraes

Away

Prediction Summary

76%

16%

Over 2.5

61%

BTTS No

54%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Sporting CP (Home)

Goals scored / match3

Goals conceded / match0.65

Over 2.5 rate59%

BTTS rate41%

Guimaraes (Away)

Goals scored / match0.76

Goals conceded / match1.88

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate29%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sporting CP

WWWDD

Guimaraes

LLLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 53%

76% +1.5 24%

59% +2.5 0%

35% +3.5 0%

18% +4.5 0%

41% BTTS 29%

Model Insight

The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 76%. Model confidence is High.

Sporting CP averages 3 goals scored at home, while Guimaraes averages 0.76 goals scored away.

Model Strength

76%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

76%

Draw

16%

Away Win

Over 2.5

61%

BTTS Yes

46%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Sporting CP 5 - 1 Guimaraes Home

Jan 2026 Sporting CP 1 - 2 Guimaraes Away

Dec 2025 Sporting CP(A) 4 - 1 Guimaraes Home

May 2025 Sporting CP 2 - 0 Guimaraes Home

Jan 2025 Sporting CP(A) 4 - 4 Guimaraes Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Sporting CP won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Sporting CP — unbeaten run (home)3

Sporting CP — scoring streak (home)17

Guimaraes — winless run (away)2

Guimaraes — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sporting CP Win (1)76%

Draw (X)16%

Guimaraes Win (2)9%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 53%

76% +1.5 24%

59% +2.5 0%

35% +3.5 0%

18% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 47%

24% -1.5 76%

41% -2.5 100%

65% -3.5 100%

82% -4.5 100%

Sporting CP vs Guimaraes — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sporting CP — scored (home)3

Sporting CP — conceded (home)0.65

Guimaraes — scored (away)0.76

Guimaraes — conceded (away)1.88

Model expected combined goals3.15

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%

No54%

Rate per Team

Sporting CP — BTTS matches (home)41%

Guimaraes — BTTS matches (away)29%

Combined (simple average)35%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%

Under 8.543%

Over 9.548%

Under 9.552%

Over 10.538%

Under 10.562%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sporting CP (home)

Corners for6.2

Corners against2.9

Guimaraes (away)

Corners for4.5

Corners against3.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sporting CP

9 10 8 11 7

Guimaraes

13 8 8 10 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.588%

Under 1.512%

Over 2.568%

Under 2.532%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Sporting CP (home)

For1.5

Guimaraes (away)

For2.1

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.569%

Under 19.531%

Over 22.555%

Under 22.545%

Over 25.542%

Under 25.558%

Expected total shots24.55

Sporting CP

Shots Over 9.579%

Shots Over 11.566%

Shots Over 13.552%

Expected shots14.34

On Target Over 3.573%

On Target Over 4.558%

On Target Over 5.544%

Expected on target5.36

Guimaraes

Shots Over 9.552%

Shots Over 11.535%

Shots Over 13.521%

Expected shots10.21

On Target Over 3.541%

On Target Over 4.525%

On Target Over 5.514%

Expected on target3.30

Shots per Game

Sporting CP — total shots (home)19.1

Guimaraes — total shots (away)13.2

Shots on Target

Sporting CP — on target (home)7.5

Guimaraes — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sporting CP

Inside the box11.82

Outside the box5.74

Guimaraes

Inside the box7.38

Outside the box5.94

Player Shots Sporting CP

L. Suárez

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target91%

+1.5 On Target50%

Pote

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

C. Harder

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target75%

+1.5 On Target25%

Geny Catamo

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target24%

Trincão

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target15%

Player Shots Guimaraes

Gustavo

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target22%

Samu

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target10%

Tiago Silva

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

Nélson Oliveira

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target8%

A. Ndoye

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sporting CP xG (home)2.13

Guimaraes xG (away)1.2

Average Possession

61.85% Possession 51.38%

Team Comparison Sporting CP vs Guimaraes

87.56% Pass accuracy 81.71%

544.06 Passes per match 393.65

-0.21 Goals prevented -0.11

12.24 Fouls committed 14.53

2.29 Goalkeeper saves 3.12

1.62 Offsides 1.94

15.76 Tackles per match 15.35

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sporting CP vs Guimaraes prediction analysis

Review Sporting CP vs Guimaraes with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights