What markets are included in the Sporting CP vs Moreirense prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Sporting CP vs Moreirense prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Sporting CP vs Moreirense

Sporting CP vs Moreirense prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-09-22 19:15

Sporting CP

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

61%

Confidence

High

Score

2-0

Moreirense

Away

Prediction Summary

71%

17%

12%

Over 2.5

61%

BTTS Yes

51%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Sporting CP (Home)

Goals scored / match3

Goals conceded / match0.65

Over 2.5 rate59%

BTTS rate41%

Moreirense (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.65

Over 2.5 rate6%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sporting CP

WWWDD

Moreirense

DLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 65%

76% +1.5 29%

59% +2.5 6%

35% +3.5 0%

18% +4.5 0%

41% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is High.

Sporting CP averages 3 goals scored at home, while Moreirense averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

71%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

71%

Draw

17%

Away Win

12%

Over 2.5

61%

BTTS Yes

51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Sporting CP(A) 3 - 0 Moreirense Home

Sep 2025 Sporting CP 3 - 0 Moreirense Home

Apr 2025 Sporting CP 3 - 1 Moreirense Home

Dec 2024 Sporting CP(A) 1 - 2 Moreirense Away

Feb 2024 Sporting CP(A) 2 - 0 Moreirense Home

In the last 5 meetings, Sporting CP won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Sporting CP — unbeaten run (home)3

Sporting CP — scoring streak (home)17

Moreirense — winless run (away)5

Moreirense — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sporting CP Win (1)71%

Draw (X)17%

Moreirense Win (2)12%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 65%

76% +1.5 29%

59% +2.5 6%

35% +3.5 0%

18% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 35%

24% -1.5 71%

41% -2.5 94%

65% -3.5 100%

82% -4.5 100%

Sporting CP vs Moreirense — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sporting CP — scored (home)3

Sporting CP — conceded (home)0.65

Moreirense — scored (away)1

Moreirense — conceded (away)1.65

Model expected combined goals3.15

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%

No49%

Rate per Team

Sporting CP — BTTS matches (home)41%

Moreirense — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%

Under 4.56%

Over 5.588%

Under 5.512%

Over 6.574%

Under 6.526%

Over 7.562%

Under 7.538%

Over 8.547%

Under 8.553%

Over 9.538%

Under 9.562%

Over 10.518%

Under 10.582%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sporting CP (home)

Corners for6.2

Corners against2.9

Moreirense (away)

Corners for3.3

Corners against4.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sporting CP

9 10 8 11 7

Moreirense

6 11 5 9 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.591%

Under 1.59%

Over 2.571%

Under 2.529%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Sporting CP (home)

For1.5

Moreirense (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Sporting CP — total shots (home)19.1

Moreirense — total shots (away)8.5

Shots on Target

Sporting CP — on target (home)7.5

Moreirense — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sporting CP

Inside the box11.82

Outside the box5.74

Moreirense

Inside the box5.26

Outside the box3.65

Player Shots Sporting CP

L. Suárez

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target91%

+1.5 On Target50%

Pote

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

C. Harder

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target75%

+1.5 On Target25%

Geny Catamo

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target24%

Trincão

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target15%

Player Shots Moreirense

Guilherme Schettine

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target40%

Bernardo Martins

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

Alan

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target15%

N. John

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target7%

Diogo Travassos

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sporting CP xG (home)2.13

Moreirense xG (away)0.93

Average Possession

61.85% Possession 49.56%

Team Comparison Sporting CP vs Moreirense

87.56% Pass accuracy 82.47%

544.06 Passes per match 430.18

-0.21 Goals prevented -0.01

12.24 Fouls committed 13.94

2.29 Goalkeeper saves 3.09

1.62 Offsides 1.23

15.76 Tackles per match 14.21

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sporting CP vs Moreirense prediction analysis

Review Sporting CP vs Moreirense with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights