Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sporting Gijon vs Sabadell

Sporting Gijon vs Sabadell prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Segunda División 2026-08-16 15:00
Sporting Gijon
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-0
Sabadell
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
26%
2
26%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Sporting Gijon (Home)

Goals scored / match1.67
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate62%

Sabadell (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sporting Gijon
WWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

90% +0.5 0%
48% +1.5 0%
24% +2.5 0%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
62% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

Sporting Gijon averages 1.67 goals scored at home, while Sabadell averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
26%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2021 Sporting Gijon(A) 1 - 1 Sabadell Draw
Nov 2020 Sporting Gijon 3 - 1 Sabadell Home

In the last 2 meetings, Sporting Gijon won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Sporting Gijon — unbeaten run (home)1
Sporting Gijon — scoring streak (home)6

1X2 Probability model

Sporting Gijon Win (1)48%
Draw (X)26%
Sabadell Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

90% +0.5 0%
48% +1.5 0%
24% +2.5 0%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

10% -0.5 100%
52% -1.5 100%
76% -2.5 100%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Sporting Gijon vs Sabadell — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sporting Gijon — scored (home)1.67
Sporting Gijon — conceded (home)1.05
Sabadell — scored (away)0
Sabadell — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.48

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Sporting Gijon — BTTS matches (home)62%
Sabadell — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)31%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sporting Gijon (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against5.0

Sabadell (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sporting Gijon
8 10 11 12 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.548%
Under 2.552%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Sporting Gijon (home)

For2.1

Sabadell (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.573%
Under 19.527%
Over 22.557%
Under 22.543%
Over 25.542%
Under 25.558%
Expected total shots24.60

Sporting Gijon

Shots Over 9.579%
Shots Over 11.563%
Shots Over 13.547%
Expected shots13.54
On Target Over 3.567%
On Target Over 4.550%
On Target Over 5.534%
Expected on target4.74

Sabadell

Shots Over 9.561%
Shots Over 11.542%
Shots Over 13.526%
Expected shots11.06
On Target Over 3.548%
On Target Over 4.530%
On Target Over 5.517%
Expected on target3.61

Shots per Game

Sporting Gijon — total shots (home)13.5
Sabadell — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Sporting Gijon — on target (home)5.3
Sabadell — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sporting Gijon

Inside the box8
Outside the box3.38

Sabadell

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Sporting Gijon

A. Ferrari
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
J. Otero
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target74%
+1.5 On Target31%
A. Coundoul
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target13%
Guille Rosas
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target8%
Gaspar Campos
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Sabadell

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sporting Gijon xG (home)1.32
Sabadell xG (away)-

Average Possession

45.52% Possession -%

Team Comparison Sporting Gijon vs Sabadell

73.33% Pass accuracy 0%
391.02 Passes per match -
0 Goals prevented -
11.69 Fouls committed -
3.07 Goalkeeper saves -
2.32 Offsides -
17.64 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sporting Gijon vs Sabadell prediction analysis

Review Sporting Gijon vs Sabadell with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Segunda División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Segunda División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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