Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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2. Bundesliga 2025-09-14 11:30
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Away

Prediction Summary

1
43%
X
24%
2
33%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

SpVgg Greuther Fürth (Home)

Goals scored / match1.56
Goals conceded / match1.72
Over 2.5 rate28%
BTTS rate50%

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
WLWLD
1. FC Kaiserslautern
WWLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

72% +0.5 53%
50% +1.5 29%
28% +2.5 18%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
50% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth averages 1.56 goals scored at home, while 1. FC Kaiserslautern averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
43%
Draw
24%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
59%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 SpVgg Greuther Fürth(A) 0 - 1 1. FC Kaiserslautern Away
Oct 2025 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0 - 1 1. FC Kaiserslautern Away
Sep 2025 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0 - 3 1. FC Kaiserslautern Away
Jan 2025 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2 - 4 1. FC Kaiserslautern Away
Aug 2024 SpVgg Greuther Fürth(A) 2 - 2 1. FC Kaiserslautern Draw

In the last 5 meetings, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — unbeaten run (home)4
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — scoring streak (home)4
1. FC Kaiserslautern — winless run (away)0
1. FC Kaiserslautern — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win (1)43%
Draw (X)24%
1. FC Kaiserslautern Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

72% +0.5 53%
50% +1.5 29%
28% +2.5 18%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

28% -0.5 47%
50% -1.5 71%
72% -2.5 82%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — scored (home)1.56
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — conceded (home)1.72
1. FC Kaiserslautern — scored (away)1
1. FC Kaiserslautern — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.96

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%
No41%

Rate per Team

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — BTTS matches (home)50%
1. FC Kaiserslautern — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)42.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.586%
Under 6.514%
Over 7.583%
Under 7.517%
Over 8.574%
Under 8.526%
Over 9.558%
Under 9.542%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

SpVgg Greuther Fürth (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against5.6

1. FC Kaiserslautern (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against6.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
9 20 5 9 14
1. FC Kaiserslautern
5 13 11 10 3

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

SpVgg Greuther Fürth (home)

For1.7

1. FC Kaiserslautern (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — total shots (home)11.5
1. FC Kaiserslautern — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — on target (home)4.0
1. FC Kaiserslautern — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Inside the box7.14
Outside the box4.83

1. FC Kaiserslautern

Inside the box8.74
Outside the box3.94

Player Shots SpVgg Greuther Fürth

F. Higl
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target5%
N. Futkeu
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target28%
F. Klaus
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target31%
S. Ltaief
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
J. Green
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots 1. FC Kaiserslautern

I. Prtajin
Shots on Target/Game2.2
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target43%
S. Asta
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target7%
E. Wekesser
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
N. Skyttä
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target9%
R. Tachie
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG (home)1.29
1. FC Kaiserslautern xG (away)1.43

Average Possession

48.22% Possession 47.59%

Team Comparison SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern

78.69% Pass accuracy 75.29%
397.89 Passes per match 385.41
0.08 Goals prevented -0.08
11.33 Fouls committed 12.18
2.89 Goalkeeper saves 3.44
1.74 Offsides 1.41
15.75 Tackles per match 15.65

League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern prediction analysis

Review SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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