Prediction Analysis: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
2. Bundesliga
2026-08-15
11:00
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
1. FC Nürnberg
Away
Prediction Summary
1
41%
X
24%
2
35%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (Home)
Goals scored / match1.56
Goals conceded / match1.72
Over 2.5 rate28%
BTTS rate50%
1. FC Nürnberg (Away)
Goals scored / match1.18
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate76%
Team Form last 5 matches
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
WLWLD
1. FC Nürnberg
DWDWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
72%
+0.5
76%
50%
+1.5
24%
28%
+2.5
18%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
50%
BTTS
76%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth averages 1.56 goals scored at home, while 1. FC Nürnberg averages 1.18 goals scored away.
Model Strength
61%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
41%
Draw
24%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
Head-to-Head last 5
May 2026
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1 - 1
1. FC Nürnberg
Draw
Dec 2025
SpVgg Greuther Fürth(A)
2 - 2
1. FC Nürnberg
Draw
Mar 2025
SpVgg Greuther Fürth(A)
0 - 3
1. FC Nürnberg
Away
Oct 2024
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0 - 4
1. FC Nürnberg
Away
Feb 2024
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2 - 1
1. FC Nürnberg
Home
In the last 5 meetings, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — unbeaten run (home)4
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — scoring streak (home)4
1. FC Nürnberg — winless run (away)4
1. FC Nürnberg — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win (1)41%
Draw (X)24%
1. FC Nürnberg Win (2)35%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
72%
+0.5
76%
50%
+1.5
24%
28%
+2.5
18%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
28%
-0.5
24%
50%
-1.5
76%
72%
-2.5
82%
94%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — scored (home)1.56
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — conceded (home)1.72
1. FC Nürnberg — scored (away)1.18
1. FC Nürnberg — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals3.05
Both Teams To Score
Yes61%
No39%
Rate per Team
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — BTTS matches (home)50%
1. FC Nürnberg — BTTS matches (away)76%
Combined (simple average)63%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10
Per-Team Corners own matches
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (home)
Corners for4.3
Corners against5.6
1. FC Nürnberg (away)
Corners for5.1
Corners against4.1
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
9
20
5
9
14
1. FC Nürnberg
4
8
9
10
15
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.589%
Under 2.511%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8
Yellow Cards per Team
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (home)
For1.7
1. FC Nürnberg (away)
For2.8
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.582%
Under 19.518%
Over 22.568%
Under 22.532%
Over 25.553%
Under 25.547%
Expected total shots26.69
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Shots Over 9.582%
Shots Over 11.568%
Shots Over 13.551%
Expected shots14.08
On Target Over 3.570%
On Target Over 4.554%
On Target Over 5.538%
Expected on target4.97
1. FC Nürnberg
Shots Over 9.574%
Shots Over 11.556%
Shots Over 13.539%
Expected shots12.60
On Target Over 3.560%
On Target Over 4.542%
On Target Over 5.527%
Expected on target4.30
Shots per Game
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — total shots (home)11.5
1. FC Nürnberg — total shots (away)11.5
Shots on Target
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — on target (home)4.0
1. FC Nürnberg — on target (away)4.1
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Inside the box7.14
Outside the box4.83
1. FC Nürnberg
Inside the box8.79
Outside the box4.09
Player Shots SpVgg Greuther Fürth
F. Higl
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target5%
N. Futkeu
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target28%
F. Klaus
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target31%
S. Ltaief
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
J. Green
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target4%
Player Shots 1. FC Nürnberg
P. Scobel
Shots on Target/Game3.5
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target5%
P. Diop
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Zoma
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target21%
H. Koudossou
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target14%
L. Lochoshvili
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target13%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG (home)1.29
1. FC Nürnberg xG (away)1.4
Average Possession
48.22%
Possession
49.35%
Team Comparison SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg
78.69%
Pass accuracy
80.79%
397.89
Passes per match
403.09
0.08
Goals prevented
-0.2
11.33
Fouls committed
11.88
2.89
Goalkeeper saves
3
1.74
Offsides
1.34
15.75
Tackles per match
15.61
League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg prediction and preview
Preview SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights