Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Hertha BSC

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Hertha BSC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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2. Bundesliga 2025-12-12 17:30
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Hertha BSC
Away

Prediction Summary

1
16%
X
21%
2
63%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

SpVgg Greuther Fürth (Home)

Goals scored / match1.56
Goals conceded / match1.72
Over 2.5 rate28%
BTTS rate50%

Hertha BSC (Away)

Goals scored / match1.82
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
WLWLD
Hertha BSC
LWLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

72% +0.5 88%
50% +1.5 53%
28% +2.5 29%
6% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 6%
50% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth averages 1.56 goals scored at home, while Hertha BSC averages 1.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
16%
Draw
21%
Away Win
63%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 SpVgg Greuther Fürth(A) 1 - 2 Hertha BSC Away
Dec 2025 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 3 - 3 Hertha BSC Draw
May 2025 SpVgg Greuther Fürth(A) 0 - 1 Hertha BSC Away
Dec 2024 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2 - 1 Hertha BSC Home
Feb 2024 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1 - 2 Hertha BSC Away

In the last 5 meetings, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — unbeaten run (home)4
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — scoring streak (home)4
Hertha BSC — winless run (away)3
Hertha BSC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win (1)16%
Draw (X)21%
Hertha BSC Win (2)63%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

72% +0.5 88%
50% +1.5 53%
28% +2.5 29%
6% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

28% -0.5 12%
50% -1.5 47%
72% -2.5 71%
94% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 94%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Hertha BSC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — scored (home)1.56
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — conceded (home)1.72
Hertha BSC — scored (away)1.82
Hertha BSC — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.79

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — BTTS matches (home)50%
Hertha BSC — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)51.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.592%
Under 6.58%
Over 7.580%
Under 7.520%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

SpVgg Greuther Fürth (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against5.6

Hertha BSC (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
9 20 5 9 14
Hertha BSC
10 8 8 20 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.589%
Under 2.511%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

SpVgg Greuther Fürth (home)

For1.7

Hertha BSC (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — total shots (home)11.5
Hertha BSC — total shots (away)11.6

Shots on Target

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — on target (home)4.0
Hertha BSC — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Inside the box7.14
Outside the box4.83

Hertha BSC

Inside the box8.59
Outside the box3.88

Player Shots SpVgg Greuther Fürth

F. Higl
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target5%
N. Futkeu
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target28%
F. Klaus
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target31%
S. Ltaief
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
J. Green
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Hertha BSC

F. Reese
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target33%
S. Grønning
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target5%
P. Klemens
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Winkler
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target13%
M. Cuisance
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG (home)1.29
Hertha BSC xG (away)1.44

Average Possession

48.22% Possession 48.74%

Team Comparison SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Hertha BSC

78.69% Pass accuracy 80.09%
397.89 Passes per match 400.53
0.08 Goals prevented 0.06
11.33 Fouls committed 12.38
2.89 Goalkeeper saves 2.94
1.74 Offsides 2
15.75 Tackles per match 13.85

League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Hertha BSC prediction analysis

Review SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Hertha BSC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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