Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Karlsruher SC

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Karlsruher SC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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2. Bundesliga 2025-10-24 16:30
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Karlsruher SC
Away

Prediction Summary

1
35%
X
25%
2
40%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

SpVgg Greuther Fürth (Home)

Goals scored / match1.56
Goals conceded / match1.72
Over 2.5 rate28%
BTTS rate50%

Karlsruher SC (Away)

Goals scored / match1.12
Goals conceded / match2.06
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
WLWLD
Karlsruher SC
LDWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

72% +0.5 47%
50% +1.5 41%
28% +2.5 18%
6% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
50% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth averages 1.56 goals scored at home, while Karlsruher SC averages 1.12 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
35%
Draw
25%
Away Win
40%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 SpVgg Greuther Fürth(A) 1 - 3 Karlsruher SC Away
Oct 2025 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1 - 4 Karlsruher SC Away
Apr 2025 SpVgg Greuther Fürth(A) 0 - 1 Karlsruher SC Away
Nov 2024 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2 - 3 Karlsruher SC Away
Mar 2024 SpVgg Greuther Fürth(A) 0 - 4 Karlsruher SC Away

In the last 5 meetings, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — unbeaten run (home)4
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — scoring streak (home)4
Karlsruher SC — winless run (away)4
Karlsruher SC — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win (1)35%
Draw (X)25%
Karlsruher SC Win (2)40%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

72% +0.5 47%
50% +1.5 41%
28% +2.5 18%
6% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

28% -0.5 53%
50% -1.5 59%
72% -2.5 82%
94% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Karlsruher SC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — scored (home)1.56
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — conceded (home)1.72
Karlsruher SC — scored (away)1.12
Karlsruher SC — conceded (away)2.06
Model expected combined goals2.88

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — BTTS matches (home)50%
Karlsruher SC — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)45.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

SpVgg Greuther Fürth (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against5.6

Karlsruher SC (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
9 20 5 9 14
Karlsruher SC
3 5 8 5 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.580%
Under 2.520%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

SpVgg Greuther Fürth (home)

For1.7

Karlsruher SC (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — total shots (home)11.5
Karlsruher SC — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — on target (home)4.0
Karlsruher SC — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Inside the box7.14
Outside the box4.83

Karlsruher SC

Inside the box7.88
Outside the box4.03

Player Shots SpVgg Greuther Fürth

F. Higl
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target5%
N. Futkeu
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target28%
F. Klaus
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target31%
S. Ltaief
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
J. Green
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Karlsruher SC

M. Wanitzek
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target32%
S. Fukuda
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
F. Schleusener
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target18%
Louey Ben Farhat
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target15%
R. Šimić
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG (home)1.29
Karlsruher SC xG (away)1.3

Average Possession

48.22% Possession 48.38%

Team Comparison SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Karlsruher SC

78.69% Pass accuracy 78.94%
397.89 Passes per match 425.21
0.08 Goals prevented -0.2
11.33 Fouls committed 12.21
2.89 Goalkeeper saves 3.76
1.74 Offsides 1.65
15.75 Tackles per match 14.38

League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Karlsruher SC prediction analysis

Review SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Karlsruher SC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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