Prediction Analysis: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Bochum
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Bochum prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
2. Bundesliga
2025-11-29
12:00
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
61%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
VfL Bochum
Away
Prediction Summary
1
35%
X
24%
2
41%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (Home)
Goals scored / match1.56
Goals conceded / match1.72
Over 2.5 rate28%
BTTS rate50%
VfL Bochum (Away)
Goals scored / match1.12
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate71%
Team Form last 5 matches
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
WLWLD
VfL Bochum
WDDWL
Goals Comparison rate per team
72%
+0.5
82%
50%
+1.5
24%
28%
+2.5
6%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
50%
BTTS
71%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth averages 1.56 goals scored at home, while VfL Bochum averages 1.12 goals scored away.
Model Strength
63%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
35%
Draw
24%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
SpVgg Greuther Fürth(A)
1 - 2
VfL Bochum
Away
Nov 2025
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0 - 3
VfL Bochum
Away
Mar 2022
SpVgg Greuther Fürth(A)
1 - 2
VfL Bochum
Away
Oct 2021
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0 - 1
VfL Bochum
Away
Mar 2021
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1 - 2
VfL Bochum
Away
In the last 5 meetings, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.
Current Streaks
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — unbeaten run (home)4
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — scoring streak (home)4
VfL Bochum — winless run (away)0
VfL Bochum — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win (1)35%
Draw (X)24%
VfL Bochum Win (2)41%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
72%
+0.5
82%
50%
+1.5
24%
28%
+2.5
6%
6%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
28%
-0.5
18%
50%
-1.5
76%
72%
-2.5
94%
94%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Bochum — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — scored (home)1.56
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — conceded (home)1.72
VfL Bochum — scored (away)1.12
VfL Bochum — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals3.17
Both Teams To Score
Yes63%
No37%
Rate per Team
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — BTTS matches (home)50%
VfL Bochum — BTTS matches (away)71%
Combined (simple average)60.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.595%
Under 6.55%
Over 7.586%
Under 7.514%
Over 8.580%
Under 8.520%
Over 9.560%
Under 9.540%
Over 10.549%
Under 10.551%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.00
Per-Team Corners own matches
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (home)
Corners for4.3
Corners against5.6
VfL Bochum (away)
Corners for5.0
Corners against7.1
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
9
20
5
9
14
VfL Bochum
9
10
10
8
13
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.580%
Under 2.520%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4
Yellow Cards per Team
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (home)
For1.7
VfL Bochum (away)
For3.1
Shots per Game
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — total shots (home)11.5
VfL Bochum — total shots (away)11.6
Shots on Target
SpVgg Greuther Fürth — on target (home)4.0
VfL Bochum — on target (away)3.6
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Inside the box7.14
Outside the box4.83
VfL Bochum
Inside the box10.59
Outside the box3.29
Player Shots SpVgg Greuther Fürth
F. Higl
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target5%
+1.5 On Target5%
N. Futkeu
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target28%
F. Klaus
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target31%
S. Ltaief
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
J. Green
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target4%
Player Shots VfL Bochum
K. Miyoshi
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target14%
P. Hofmann
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
G. Holtmann
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target20%
K. Wätjen
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target8%
I. Sissoko
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG (home)1.29
VfL Bochum xG (away)1.65
Average Possession
48.22%
Possession
45.76%
Team Comparison SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Bochum
78.69%
Pass accuracy
77.15%
397.89
Passes per match
375.24
0.08
Goals prevented
0.06
11.33
Fouls committed
13.38
2.89
Goalkeeper saves
3.26
1.74
Offsides
1.61
15.75
Tackles per match
16.03
League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Bochum prediction analysis
Review SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs VfL Bochum with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights