Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: SSV Ulm 1846 vs VfL Osnabrück

SSV Ulm 1846 vs VfL Osnabrück prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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3. Liga 2025-12-12 18:00
SSV Ulm 1846
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
VfL Osnabrück
Away

Prediction Summary

1
30%
X
24%
2
46%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

SSV Ulm 1846 (Home)

Goals scored / match1.26
Goals conceded / match1.95
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate63%

VfL Osnabrück (Away)

Goals scored / match1.95
Goals conceded / match1.16
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

SSV Ulm 1846
LDLLW
VfL Osnabrück
WDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 89%
26% +1.5 53%
11% +2.5 32%
5% +3.5 16%
5% +4.5 5%
63% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

SSV Ulm 1846 averages 1.26 goals scored at home, while VfL Osnabrück averages 1.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
30%
Draw
24%
Away Win
46%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 2

May 2026 SSV Ulm 1846(A) 1 - 1 VfL Osnabrück Draw
Dec 2025 SSV Ulm 1846 3 - 5 VfL Osnabrück Away

In the last 2 meetings, SSV Ulm 1846 won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

SSV Ulm 1846 — unbeaten run (home)0
SSV Ulm 1846 — scoring streak (home)1
VfL Osnabrück — winless run (away)0
VfL Osnabrück — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

SSV Ulm 1846 Win (1)30%
Draw (X)24%
VfL Osnabrück Win (2)46%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 89%
26% +1.5 53%
11% +2.5 32%
5% +3.5 16%
5% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 11%
74% -1.5 47%
89% -2.5 68%
95% -3.5 84%
95% -4.5 95%

SSV Ulm 1846 vs VfL Osnabrück — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

SSV Ulm 1846 — scored (home)1.26
SSV Ulm 1846 — conceded (home)1.95
VfL Osnabrück — scored (away)1.95
VfL Osnabrück — conceded (away)1.16
Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

SSV Ulm 1846 — BTTS matches (home)63%
VfL Osnabrück — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.581%
Under 4.519%
Over 5.578%
Under 5.522%
Over 6.576%
Under 6.524%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

SSV Ulm 1846 (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against4.7

VfL Osnabrück (away)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

SSV Ulm 1846
10 10 0 0 0
VfL Osnabrück
14 10 11 0 0

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

SSV Ulm 1846 (home)

For3.0

VfL Osnabrück (away)

For1.7

Shots per Game

SSV Ulm 1846 — total shots (home)11.9
VfL Osnabrück — total shots (away)12.7

Shots on Target

SSV Ulm 1846 — on target (home)4.4
VfL Osnabrück — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

SSV Ulm 1846

Inside the box7.12
Outside the box5.44

VfL Osnabrück

Inside the box7.89
Outside the box4.75

Player Shots SSV Ulm 1846

L. Dajaku
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target18%
E. Löder
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
L. Röser
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target11%
E. Loder
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Brandt
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots VfL Osnabrück

R. Meißner
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target88%
+1.5 On Target46%
D. Kopacz
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target6%
L. Kehl
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
I. Badjie
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target9%
B. Riesselmann
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

SSV Ulm 1846 xG (home)1.5
VfL Osnabrück xG (away)1.59

Average Possession

51.64% Possession 45.54%

Team Comparison SSV Ulm 1846 vs VfL Osnabrück

79.76% Pass accuracy 77.61%
424.56 Passes per match 380.14
0 Goals prevented 0
13.04 Fouls committed 12.61
2.92 Goalkeeper saves 2.36
2.48 Offsides 2.21
2.96 Tackles per match 3.73

League average xG this season is 1.6 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

SSV Ulm 1846 vs VfL Osnabrück prediction analysis

Review SSV Ulm 1846 vs VfL Osnabrück with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 3. Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 3. Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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