Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: ST Johnstone vs Celtic

ST Johnstone vs Celtic prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2026-08-22 14:00
ST Johnstone
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Celtic
Away

Prediction Summary

1
30%
X
26%
2
44%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

ST Johnstone (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Celtic (Away)

Goals scored / match1.58
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Celtic
WWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 79%
0% +1.5 58%
0% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

ST Johnstone averages 0 goals scored at home, while Celtic averages 1.58 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
30%
Draw
26%
Away Win
44%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2025 ST Johnstone 0 - 5 Celtic Away
Apr 2025 ST Johnstone 1 - 0 Celtic Home
Dec 2024 ST Johnstone(A) 0 - 4 Celtic Away
Sep 2024 ST Johnstone 0 - 6 Celtic Away
Mar 2024 ST Johnstone(A) 1 - 3 Celtic Away

In the last 5 meetings, ST Johnstone won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Celtic — winless run (away)0
Celtic — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

ST Johnstone Win (1)30%
Draw (X)26%
Celtic Win (2)44%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 79%
0% +1.5 58%
0% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 21%
100% -1.5 42%
100% -2.5 84%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

ST Johnstone vs Celtic — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

ST Johnstone — scored (home)0
ST Johnstone — conceded (home)0
Celtic — scored (away)1.58
Celtic — conceded (away)1.37
Model expected combined goals2.57

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

ST Johnstone — BTTS matches (home)0%
Celtic — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)31.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.552%
Under 9.548%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

ST Johnstone (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Celtic (away)

Corners for5.6
Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Celtic
16 13 8 7 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.545%
Under 1.555%
Over 2.542%
Under 2.558%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

ST Johnstone (home)

For—

Celtic (away)

For2.2

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.573%
Under 19.527%
Over 22.560%
Under 22.540%
Over 25.546%
Under 25.554%
Expected total shots25.63

ST Johnstone

Shots Over 9.573%
Shots Over 11.558%
Shots Over 13.543%
Expected shots13.10
On Target Over 3.564%
On Target Over 4.547%
On Target Over 5.533%
Expected on target4.64

Celtic

Shots Over 9.570%
Shots Over 11.554%
Shots Over 13.539%
Expected shots12.53
On Target Over 3.553%
On Target Over 4.536%
On Target Over 5.523%
Expected on target3.94

Shots per Game

ST Johnstone — total shots (home)—
Celtic — total shots (away)14.6

Shots on Target

ST Johnstone — on target (home)—
Celtic — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

ST Johnstone

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Celtic

Inside the box10.82
Outside the box5.58

Player Shots ST Johnstone

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Celtic

B. Nygren
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target24%
D. Maeda
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target22%
T. Čvančara
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target11%
J. Kenny
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target27%
K. Ịheanachọ
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

ST Johnstone xG (home)-
Celtic xG (away)2.02

Average Possession

-% Possession 65.53%

Team Comparison ST Johnstone vs Celtic

0% Pass accuracy 86.13%
- Passes per match 602.87
- Goals prevented -0.28
- Fouls committed 12.42
- Goalkeeper saves 2.29
- Offsides 1.5
- Tackles per match 13.92

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

ST Johnstone vs Celtic prediction analysis

Review ST Johnstone vs Celtic with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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