Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: ST Johnstone vs Kilmarnock

ST Johnstone vs Kilmarnock prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2026-08-02 13:00
ST Johnstone
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Kilmarnock
Away

Prediction Summary

1
44%
X
25%
2
31%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

ST Johnstone (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Kilmarnock (Away)

Goals scored / match1.16
Goals conceded / match2.11
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Kilmarnock
WWWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 74%
0% +1.5 26%
0% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Low.

ST Johnstone averages 0 goals scored at home, while Kilmarnock averages 1.16 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
44%
Draw
25%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2025 ST Johnstone 0 - 2 Kilmarnock Away
Feb 2025 ST Johnstone(A) 1 - 3 Kilmarnock Away
Nov 2024 ST Johnstone 1 - 0 Kilmarnock Home
Aug 2024 ST Johnstone(A) 3 - 0 Kilmarnock Home
Apr 2024 ST Johnstone 0 - 2 Kilmarnock Away

In the last 5 meetings, ST Johnstone won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Kilmarnock — winless run (away)0
Kilmarnock — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

ST Johnstone Win (1)44%
Draw (X)25%
Kilmarnock Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 74%
0% +1.5 26%
0% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 26%
100% -1.5 74%
100% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

ST Johnstone vs Kilmarnock — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

ST Johnstone — scored (home)0
ST Johnstone — conceded (home)0
Kilmarnock — scored (away)1.16
Kilmarnock — conceded (away)2.11
Model expected combined goals2.73

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

ST Johnstone — BTTS matches (home)0%
Kilmarnock — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)31.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.552%
Under 9.548%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

ST Johnstone (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Kilmarnock (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Kilmarnock
11 12 5 8 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.545%
Under 1.555%
Over 2.542%
Under 2.558%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

ST Johnstone (home)

For—

Kilmarnock (away)

For2.4

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.571%
Under 19.529%
Over 22.558%
Under 22.542%
Over 25.545%
Under 25.555%
Expected total shots25.24

ST Johnstone

Shots Over 9.580%
Shots Over 11.567%
Shots Over 13.552%
Expected shots14.44
On Target Over 3.571%
On Target Over 4.556%
On Target Over 5.541%
Expected on target5.19

Kilmarnock

Shots Over 9.557%
Shots Over 11.540%
Shots Over 13.526%
Expected shots10.80
On Target Over 3.548%
On Target Over 4.531%
On Target Over 5.519%
Expected on target3.66

Shots per Game

ST Johnstone — total shots (home)—
Kilmarnock — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

ST Johnstone — on target (home)—
Kilmarnock — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

ST Johnstone

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Kilmarnock

Inside the box7.66
Outside the box3.68

Player Shots ST Johnstone

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Kilmarnock

T. John-Jules
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target78%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Hugill
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target27%
Findlay Curtis
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
G. Kiltie
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target6%
D. Daniels
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

ST Johnstone xG (home)-
Kilmarnock xG (away)1.36

Average Possession

-% Possession 42.45%

Team Comparison ST Johnstone vs Kilmarnock

0% Pass accuracy 73.08%
- Passes per match 348.76
- Goals prevented 0.03
- Fouls committed 13.13
- Goalkeeper saves 3.55
- Offsides 1.84
- Tackles per match 15.47

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

ST Johnstone vs Kilmarnock prediction analysis

Review ST Johnstone vs Kilmarnock with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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