Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids

St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Major League Soccer 2026-07-26 00:30
St. Louis City
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
61%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Colorado Rapids
Away

Prediction Summary

1
46%
X
23%
2
31%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

St. Louis City (Home)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate68%

Colorado Rapids (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

St. Louis City
WWWDW
Colorado Rapids
LWDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 61%
47% +1.5 33%
16% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
68% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.

St. Louis City averages 1.42 goals scored at home, while Colorado Rapids averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
46%
Draw
23%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
62%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2026 St. Louis City 1 - 0 Colorado Rapids Home
May 2025 St. Louis City(A) 0 - 1 Colorado Rapids Away
Feb 2025 St. Louis City 0 - 0 Colorado Rapids Draw
Jul 2024 St. Louis City(A) 1 - 4 Colorado Rapids Away
Jun 2024 St. Louis City 0 - 3 Colorado Rapids Away

In the last 5 meetings, St. Louis City won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

St. Louis City — unbeaten run (home)3
St. Louis City — scoring streak (home)3
Colorado Rapids — winless run (away)5
Colorado Rapids — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

St. Louis City Win (1)46%
Draw (X)23%
Colorado Rapids Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 61%
47% +1.5 33%
16% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 39%
53% -1.5 67%
84% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

St. Louis City — scored (home)1.42
St. Louis City — conceded (home)1.58
Colorado Rapids — scored (away)1.06
Colorado Rapids — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals3.14

Both Teams To Score

Yes62%
No38%

Rate per Team

St. Louis City — BTTS matches (home)68%
Colorado Rapids — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)62%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

St. Louis City (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against4.4

Colorado Rapids (away)

Corners for4.3
Corners against7.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

St. Louis City
10 10 11 11 10
Colorado Rapids
9 15 11 8 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

St. Louis City (home)

For1.9

Colorado Rapids (away)

For2.1

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.583%
Under 19.517%
Over 22.571%
Under 22.529%
Over 25.557%
Under 25.543%
Expected total shots27.60

St. Louis City

Shots Over 9.590%
Shots Over 11.579%
Shots Over 13.566%
Expected shots16.26
On Target Over 3.580%
On Target Over 4.567%
On Target Over 5.552%
Expected on target5.86

Colorado Rapids

Shots Over 9.564%
Shots Over 11.545%
Shots Over 13.529%
Expected shots11.34
On Target Over 3.557%
On Target Over 4.539%
On Target Over 5.524%
Expected on target4.10

Shots per Game

St. Louis City — total shots (home)16.4
Colorado Rapids — total shots (away)9.6

Shots on Target

St. Louis City — on target (home)5.6
Colorado Rapids — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

St. Louis City

Inside the box9.85
Outside the box4.44

Colorado Rapids

Inside the box7.71
Outside the box4.26

Player Shots St. Louis City

C. Durkin
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target6%
Brendan McSorley
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target25%
J. Orozco
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
M. Hartel
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target23%
João Klauss
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target21%

Player Shots Colorado Rapids

Rafael Navarro
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target32%
D. Mihailović
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
C. Bassett
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target14%
P. Aaronson
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target29%
D. Yapi
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

St. Louis City xG (home)1.55
Colorado Rapids xG (away)1.54

Average Possession

47.24% Possession 45.47%

Team Comparison St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids

82.77% Pass accuracy 82.65%
419.44 Passes per match 407.03
0.33 Goals prevented 0.1
11.38 Fouls committed 10.06
3.56 Goalkeeper saves 3.94
1.81 Offsides 1.72
15.8 Tackles per match 13.03

League average xG this season is 1.48 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids prediction analysis

Review St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Major League Soccer.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Major League Soccer
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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