Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: ST Mirren vs Celtic

ST Mirren vs Celtic prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-11-22 20:00
ST Mirren
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
33%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Celtic
Away

Prediction Summary

1
31%
X
31%
2
39%
Under 2.5
67%
BTTS No
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

ST Mirren (Home)

Goals scored / match0.6
Goals conceded / match1.1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate15%

Celtic (Away)

Goals scored / match1.58
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

ST Mirren
WDDWL
Celtic
WWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

45% +0.5 79%
15% +1.5 58%
0% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
15% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 33%. Model confidence is Medium.

ST Mirren averages 0.6 goals scored at home, while Celtic averages 1.58 goals scored away.

Model Strength
67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
31%
Draw
31%
Away Win
39%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS Yes
40%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 ST Mirren(A) 2 - 6 Celtic Away
Apr 2026 ST Mirren(A) 0 - 1 Celtic Away
Dec 2025 ST Mirren 3 - 1 Celtic Home
Nov 2025 ST Mirren 0 - 1 Celtic Away
Aug 2025 ST Mirren(A) 0 - 1 Celtic Away

In the last 5 meetings, ST Mirren won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

ST Mirren — unbeaten run (home)2
ST Mirren — scoring streak (home)2
Celtic — winless run (away)0
Celtic — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

ST Mirren Win (1)31%
Draw (X)31%
Celtic Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

45% +0.5 79%
15% +1.5 58%
0% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

55% -0.5 21%
85% -1.5 42%
100% -2.5 84%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

ST Mirren vs Celtic — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

ST Mirren — scored (home)0.6
ST Mirren — conceded (home)1.1
Celtic — scored (away)1.58
Celtic — conceded (away)1.37
Model expected combined goals2.02

Both Teams To Score

Yes40%
No60%

Rate per Team

ST Mirren — BTTS matches (home)15%
Celtic — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)39%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.567%
Under 7.533%
Over 8.567%
Under 8.533%
Over 9.562%
Under 9.538%
Over 10.559%
Under 10.541%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

ST Mirren (home)

Corners for5.5
Corners against5.1

Celtic (away)

Corners for5.6
Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

ST Mirren
5 7 12 0 0
Celtic
16 13 8 7 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

ST Mirren (home)

For2.1

Celtic (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

ST Mirren — total shots (home)12.5
Celtic — total shots (away)14.6

Shots on Target

ST Mirren — on target (home)3.9
Celtic — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

ST Mirren

Inside the box7.97
Outside the box3.89

Celtic

Inside the box10.82
Outside the box5.58

Player Shots ST Mirren

L. Douglas
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Mandron
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Ayunga
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target9%
D. Nlundulu
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target7%
K. Phillips
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Celtic

B. Nygren
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target24%
D. Maeda
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target22%
T. Čvančara
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target11%
J. Kenny
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target27%
K. Ịheanachọ
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

ST Mirren xG (home)0.98
Celtic xG (away)2.02

Average Possession

46.29% Possession 65.53%

Team Comparison ST Mirren vs Celtic

74.18% Pass accuracy 86.13%
373.26 Passes per match 602.87
0.1 Goals prevented -0.28
12.74 Fouls committed 12.42
2.84 Goalkeeper saves 2.29
2.24 Offsides 1.5
14.55 Tackles per match 13.92

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

ST Mirren vs Celtic prediction analysis

Review ST Mirren vs Celtic with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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