Prediction Analysis: ST Mirren vs Heart Of Midlothian
ST Mirren vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Premiership
2025-10-29
19:45
ST Mirren
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
36%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Heart Of Midlothian
Away
Prediction Summary
1
15%
X
26%
2
59%
Under 2.5
64%
BTTS No
64%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
ST Mirren (Home)
Goals scored / match0.6
Goals conceded / match1.1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate15%
Heart Of Midlothian (Away)
Goals scored / match1.58
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate53%
Team Form last 5 matches
ST Mirren
WDDWL
Heart Of Midlothian
LWDWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
45%
+0.5
79%
15%
+1.5
63%
0%
+2.5
16%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
15%
BTTS
53%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 36%. Model confidence is Medium.
ST Mirren averages 0.6 goals scored at home, while Heart Of Midlothian averages 1.58 goals scored away.
Model Strength
64%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
15%
Draw
26%
Away Win
59%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS Yes
36%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2026
ST Mirren
1 - 0
Heart Of Midlothian
Home
Jan 2026
ST Mirren(A)
0 - 2
Heart Of Midlothian
Away
Oct 2025
ST Mirren
2 - 2
Heart Of Midlothian
Draw
Aug 2025
ST Mirren
1 - 1
Heart Of Midlothian
Draw
Feb 2025
ST Mirren(A)
1 - 3
Heart Of Midlothian
Away
In the last 5 meetings, ST Mirren won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
ST Mirren — unbeaten run (home)2
ST Mirren — scoring streak (home)2
Heart Of Midlothian — winless run (away)2
Heart Of Midlothian — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
ST Mirren Win (1)15%
Draw (X)26%
Heart Of Midlothian Win (2)59%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
45%
+0.5
79%
15%
+1.5
63%
0%
+2.5
16%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
55%
-0.5
21%
85%
-1.5
37%
100%
-2.5
84%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
ST Mirren vs Heart Of Midlothian — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
ST Mirren — scored (home)0.6
ST Mirren — conceded (home)1.1
Heart Of Midlothian — scored (away)1.58
Heart Of Midlothian — conceded (away)1.21
Model expected combined goals2.13
Both Teams To Score
Yes36%
No64%
Rate per Team
ST Mirren — BTTS matches (home)15%
Heart Of Midlothian — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)34%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.593%
Under 5.57%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.577%
Under 8.523%
Over 9.567%
Under 9.533%
Over 10.554%
Under 10.546%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
ST Mirren (home)
Corners for5.5
Corners against5.1
Heart Of Midlothian (away)
Corners for5.7
Corners against4.4
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
ST Mirren
5
7
12
0
0
Heart Of Midlothian
11
8
8
10
15
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2
Yellow Cards per Team
ST Mirren (home)
For2.1
Heart Of Midlothian (away)
For2.2
Shots per Game
ST Mirren — total shots (home)12.5
Heart Of Midlothian — total shots (away)13.9
Shots on Target
ST Mirren — on target (home)3.9
Heart Of Midlothian — on target (away)4.7
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
ST Mirren
Inside the box7.97
Outside the box3.89
Heart Of Midlothian
Inside the box9.74
Outside the box4.58
Player Shots ST Mirren
L. Douglas
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Mandron
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Ayunga
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target9%
D. Nlundulu
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target7%
K. Phillips
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target11%
Player Shots Heart Of Midlothian
L. Shankland
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target48%
Cláudio Braga
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
A. Kyziridis
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
P. Kabore
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target12%
Ageu
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
ST Mirren xG (home)0.98
Heart Of Midlothian xG (away)1.46
Average Possession
46.29%
Possession
53.39%
Team Comparison ST Mirren vs Heart Of Midlothian
74.18%
Pass accuracy
75.55%
373.26
Passes per match
414.24
0.1
Goals prevented
-0.46
12.74
Fouls committed
10.92
2.84
Goalkeeper saves
2
2.24
Offsides
1.31
14.55
Tackles per match
16.87
League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
ST Mirren vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction analysis
Review ST Mirren vs Heart Of Midlothian with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights