Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: ST Mirren vs Hibernian

ST Mirren vs Hibernian prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-11-08 17:45
ST Mirren
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
34%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Hibernian
Away

Prediction Summary

1
33%
X
30%
2
37%
Under 2.5
66%
BTTS No
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

ST Mirren (Home)

Goals scored / match0.6
Goals conceded / match1.1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate15%

Hibernian (Away)

Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match1.32
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

ST Mirren
WDDWL
Hibernian
LWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

45% +0.5 63%
15% +1.5 53%
0% +2.5 21%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
15% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 34%. Model confidence is Medium.

ST Mirren averages 0.6 goals scored at home, while Hibernian averages 1.37 goals scored away.

Model Strength
66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
33%
Draw
30%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS Yes
41%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 ST Mirren(A) 0 - 2 Hibernian Away
Nov 2025 ST Mirren 0 - 3 Hibernian Away
Aug 2025 ST Mirren(A) 1 - 1 Hibernian Draw
May 2025 ST Mirren 2 - 2 Hibernian Draw
Feb 2025 ST Mirren 0 - 0 Hibernian Draw

In the last 5 meetings, ST Mirren won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

ST Mirren — unbeaten run (home)2
ST Mirren — scoring streak (home)2
Hibernian — winless run (away)0
Hibernian — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

ST Mirren Win (1)33%
Draw (X)30%
Hibernian Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

45% +0.5 63%
15% +1.5 53%
0% +2.5 21%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

55% -0.5 37%
85% -1.5 47%
100% -2.5 79%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

ST Mirren vs Hibernian — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

ST Mirren — scored (home)0.6
ST Mirren — conceded (home)1.1
Hibernian — scored (away)1.37
Hibernian — conceded (away)1.32
Model expected combined goals2.05

Both Teams To Score

Yes41%
No59%

Rate per Team

ST Mirren — BTTS matches (home)15%
Hibernian — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)36.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.575%
Under 7.525%
Over 8.572%
Under 8.528%
Over 9.564%
Under 9.536%
Over 10.556%
Under 10.544%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

ST Mirren (home)

Corners for5.5
Corners against5.1

Hibernian (away)

Corners for4.3
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

ST Mirren
5 7 12 0 0
Hibernian
11 13 11 12 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

ST Mirren (home)

For2.1

Hibernian (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

ST Mirren — total shots (home)12.5
Hibernian — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

ST Mirren — on target (home)3.9
Hibernian — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

ST Mirren

Inside the box7.97
Outside the box3.89

Hibernian

Inside the box8.61
Outside the box3.45

Player Shots ST Mirren

L. Douglas
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Mandron
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Ayunga
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target9%
D. Nlundulu
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target7%
K. Phillips
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Hibernian

K. Bowie
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Hoilett
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
T. Klidje
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target11%
É. Youan
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

ST Mirren xG (home)0.98
Hibernian xG (away)1.23

Average Possession

46.29% Possession 46.74%

Team Comparison ST Mirren vs Hibernian

74.18% Pass accuracy 77.37%
373.26 Passes per match 392.29
0.1 Goals prevented -0.28
12.74 Fouls committed 11.05
2.84 Goalkeeper saves 2.84
2.24 Offsides 1.81
14.55 Tackles per match 13.03

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

ST Mirren vs Hibernian prediction analysis

Review ST Mirren vs Hibernian with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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