Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: ST Mirren vs Livingston

ST Mirren vs Livingston prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-12-20 15:00
ST Mirren
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
41%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Livingston
Away

Prediction Summary

1
50%
X
27%
2
23%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

ST Mirren (Home)

Goals scored / match0.6
Goals conceded / match1.1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate15%

Livingston (Away)

Goals scored / match0.8
Goals conceded / match1.95
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate45%

Team Form last 5 matches

ST Mirren
WDDWL
Livingston
LDLDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

45% +0.5 50%
15% +1.5 30%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
15% BTTS 45%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

ST Mirren averages 0.6 goals scored at home, while Livingston averages 0.8 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
50%
Draw
27%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 ST Mirren 0 - 2 Livingston Away
Feb 2026 ST Mirren(A) 1 - 1 Livingston Draw
Jan 2026 ST Mirren(A) 1 - 1 Livingston Draw
Jan 2026 ST Mirren(A) 1 - 1 Livingston Draw
Dec 2025 ST Mirren 1 - 0 Livingston Home

In the last 5 meetings, ST Mirren won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

ST Mirren — unbeaten run (home)2
ST Mirren — scoring streak (home)2
Livingston — winless run (away)2
Livingston — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

ST Mirren Win (1)50%
Draw (X)27%
Livingston Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

45% +0.5 50%
15% +1.5 30%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

55% -0.5 50%
85% -1.5 70%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

ST Mirren vs Livingston — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

ST Mirren — scored (home)0.6
ST Mirren — conceded (home)1.1
Livingston — scored (away)0.8
Livingston — conceded (away)1.95
Model expected combined goals2.32

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%
No55%

Rate per Team

ST Mirren — BTTS matches (home)15%
Livingston — BTTS matches (away)45%
Combined (simple average)30%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.578%
Under 7.522%
Over 8.575%
Under 8.525%
Over 9.568%
Under 9.532%
Over 10.560%
Under 10.540%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

ST Mirren (home)

Corners for5.5
Corners against5.1

Livingston (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against6.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

ST Mirren
5 7 12 0 0
Livingston
15 9 12 15 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.580%
Under 1.520%
Over 2.570%
Under 2.530%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

ST Mirren (home)

For2.1

Livingston (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

ST Mirren — total shots (home)12.5
Livingston — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

ST Mirren — on target (home)3.9
Livingston — on target (away)2.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

ST Mirren

Inside the box7.97
Outside the box3.89

Livingston

Inside the box6.29
Outside the box3.53

Player Shots ST Mirren

L. Douglas
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Mandron
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Ayunga
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target9%
D. Nlundulu
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target7%
K. Phillips
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Livingston

T. Yengi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. May
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target6%
R. Muirhead
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%
C. McLennan
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Smith
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

ST Mirren xG (home)0.98
Livingston xG (away)1.09

Average Possession

46.29% Possession 44.97%

Team Comparison ST Mirren vs Livingston

74.18% Pass accuracy 73.13%
373.26 Passes per match 372.84
0.1 Goals prevented 0.11
12.74 Fouls committed 12.89
2.84 Goalkeeper saves 3.05
2.24 Offsides 1.49
14.55 Tackles per match 15.92

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

ST Mirren vs Livingston prediction analysis

Review ST Mirren vs Livingston with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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