Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone

ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Premiership 2026-08-08 14:00
ST Mirren
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
43%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
ST Johnstone
Away

Prediction Summary

1
38%
X
30%
2
32%
Under 2.5
64%
BTTS No
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

ST Mirren (Home)

Goals scored / match0.6
Goals conceded / match1.1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate15%

ST Johnstone (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

ST Mirren
WDDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

45% +0.5 0%
15% +1.5 0%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
15% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

ST Mirren averages 0.6 goals scored at home, while ST Johnstone averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
38%
Draw
30%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS Yes
43%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2025 ST Mirren 0 - 1 ST Johnstone Away
Dec 2024 ST Mirren(A) 3 - 2 ST Johnstone Home
Oct 2024 ST Mirren 3 - 1 ST Johnstone Home
Feb 2024 ST Mirren 2 - 0 ST Johnstone Home
Dec 2023 ST Mirren(A) 0 - 1 ST Johnstone Away

In the last 5 meetings, ST Mirren won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

ST Mirren — unbeaten run (home)2
ST Mirren — scoring streak (home)2

1X2 Probability model

ST Mirren Win (1)38%
Draw (X)30%
ST Johnstone Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

45% +0.5 0%
15% +1.5 0%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

55% -0.5 100%
85% -1.5 100%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

ST Mirren — scored (home)0.6
ST Mirren — conceded (home)1.1
ST Johnstone — scored (away)0
ST Johnstone — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.14

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%
No57%

Rate per Team

ST Mirren — BTTS matches (home)15%
ST Johnstone — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)7.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.552%
Under 9.548%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

ST Mirren (home)

Corners for5.5
Corners against5.1

ST Johnstone (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

ST Mirren
5 7 12 0 0

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.548%
Under 0.552%
Over 1.540%
Under 1.560%
Over 2.535%
Under 2.565%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

ST Mirren (home)

For2.1

ST Johnstone (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.570%
Under 19.530%
Over 22.556%
Under 22.544%
Over 25.543%
Under 25.557%
Expected total shots24.81

ST Mirren

Shots Over 9.575%
Shots Over 11.560%
Shots Over 13.545%
Expected shots13.45
On Target Over 3.563%
On Target Over 4.546%
On Target Over 5.532%
Expected on target4.57

ST Johnstone

Shots Over 9.562%
Shots Over 11.545%
Shots Over 13.530%
Expected shots11.37
On Target Over 3.548%
On Target Over 4.532%
On Target Over 5.519%
Expected on target3.68

Shots per Game

ST Mirren — total shots (home)12.5
ST Johnstone — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

ST Mirren — on target (home)3.9
ST Johnstone — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

ST Mirren

Inside the box7.97
Outside the box3.89

ST Johnstone

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots ST Mirren

L. Douglas
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Mandron
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Ayunga
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target9%
D. Nlundulu
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target7%
K. Phillips
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots ST Johnstone

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

ST Mirren xG (home)0.98
ST Johnstone xG (away)-

Average Possession

46.29% Possession -%

Team Comparison ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone

74.18% Pass accuracy 0%
373.26 Passes per match -
0.1 Goals prevented -
12.74 Fouls committed -
2.84 Goalkeeper saves -
2.24 Offsides -
14.55 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone prediction analysis

Review ST Mirren vs ST Johnstone with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top