Prediction Analysis: St Patrick's Athl. vs Derry City
St Patrick's Athl. vs Derry City prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Premier Division
2026-08-02
16:00
St Patrick's Athl.
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
42%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Derry City
Away
Prediction Summary
1
59%
X
25%
2
17%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS No
58%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
St Patrick's Athl. (Home)
Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match0.33
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate33%
Derry City (Away)
Goals scored / match1.16
Goals conceded / match1.26
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate53%
Team Form last 5 matches
St Patrick's Athl.
DDWLW
Derry City
LWLWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
100%
+0.5
74%
67%
+1.5
26%
33%
+2.5
11%
0%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
0%
33%
BTTS
53%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.
St Patrick's Athl. averages 2 goals scored at home, while Derry City averages 1.16 goals scored away.
Model Strength
59%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
59%
Draw
25%
Away Win
17%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
Head-to-Head last 5
Aug 2025
St Patrick's Athl.(A)
2 - 2
Derry City
Draw
Jun 2025
St Patrick's Athl.
0 - 1
Derry City
Away
May 2025
St Patrick's Athl.(A)
0 - 1
Derry City
Away
Mar 2025
St Patrick's Athl.
2 - 0
Derry City
Home
Oct 2024
St Patrick's Athl.
1 - 0
Derry City
Home
In the last 5 meetings, St Patrick's Athl. won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
St Patrick's Athl. — unbeaten run (home)3
St Patrick's Athl. — scoring streak (home)3
Derry City — winless run (away)1
Derry City — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
St Patrick's Athl. Win (1)59%
Draw (X)25%
Derry City Win (2)17%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
100%
+0.5
74%
67%
+1.5
26%
33%
+2.5
11%
0%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
0%
-0.5
26%
33%
-1.5
74%
67%
-2.5
89%
100%
-3.5
95%
100%
-4.5
100%
St Patrick's Athl. vs Derry City — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
St Patrick's Athl. — scored (home)2
St Patrick's Athl. — conceded (home)0.33
Derry City — scored (away)1.16
Derry City — conceded (away)1.26
Model expected combined goals2.38
Both Teams To Score
Yes42%
No58%
Rate per Team
St Patrick's Athl. — BTTS matches (home)33%
Derry City — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)43%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Per-Team Corners own matches
St Patrick's Athl. (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Derry City (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Yellow Cards per Team
St Patrick's Athl. (home)
For—
Derry City (away)
For—
Shots per Game
St Patrick's Athl. — total shots (home)—
Derry City — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
St Patrick's Athl. — on target (home)—
Derry City — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
St Patrick's Athl.
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Derry City
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.
Average Possession
-%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison St Patrick's Athl. vs Derry City
0%
Pass accuracy
0%
League average xG this season is 1.12 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
St Patrick's Athl. vs Derry City prediction and preview
Preview St Patrick's Athl. vs Derry City with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Premier Division
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights