Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: St. Truiden vs Lommel United

St. Truiden vs Lommel United prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2026-08-08 18:45
St. Truiden
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Lommel United
Away

Prediction Summary

1
30%
X
26%
2
43%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

St. Truiden (Home)

Goals scored / match1.6
Goals conceded / match1.15
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate55%

Lommel United (Away)

Goals scored / match1.67
Goals conceded / match0.67
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

St. Truiden
WLDLW
Lommel United
DWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

90% +0.5 67%
50% +1.5 67%
20% +2.5 33%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
55% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

St. Truiden averages 1.6 goals scored at home, while Lommel United averages 1.67 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
30%
Draw
26%
Away Win
43%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 0

No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.

Current Streaks

St. Truiden — unbeaten run (home)4
St. Truiden — scoring streak (home)8
Lommel United — winless run (away)1
Lommel United — clean sheets (away, last 3)1 of 3

1X2 Probability model

St. Truiden Win (1)30%
Draw (X)26%
Lommel United Win (2)43%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

90% +0.5 67%
50% +1.5 67%
20% +2.5 33%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

10% -0.5 33%
50% -1.5 33%
80% -2.5 67%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

St. Truiden vs Lommel United — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

St. Truiden — scored (home)1.6
St. Truiden — conceded (home)1.15
Lommel United — scored (away)1.67
Lommel United — conceded (away)0.67
Model expected combined goals2.54

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

St. Truiden — BTTS matches (home)55%
Lommel United — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)61%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

St. Truiden (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.4

Lommel United (away)

Corners for2.7
Corners against10.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

St. Truiden
10 8 6 17 4
Lommel United
15 10 13 13 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.593%
Under 1.57%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

St. Truiden (home)

For1.7

Lommel United (away)

For1.7

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.579%
Under 19.521%
Over 22.566%
Under 22.534%
Over 25.552%
Under 25.548%
Expected total shots26.75

St. Truiden

Shots Over 9.585%
Shots Over 11.573%
Shots Over 13.559%
Expected shots15.31
On Target Over 3.570%
On Target Over 4.554%
On Target Over 5.539%
Expected on target5.03

Lommel United

Shots Over 9.563%
Shots Over 11.546%
Shots Over 13.530%
Expected shots11.44
On Target Over 3.552%
On Target Over 4.534%
On Target Over 5.521%
Expected on target3.84

Shots per Game

St. Truiden — total shots (home)15.1
Lommel United — total shots (away)7.3

Shots on Target

St. Truiden — on target (home)4.8
Lommel United — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

St. Truiden

Inside the box8.93
Outside the box4.83

Lommel United

Inside the box7.5
Outside the box2.17

Player Shots St. Truiden

R. Ito
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target11%
I. Sebaoui
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target15%
K. Goto
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Muja
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target12%
R. Yamamoto
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Lommel United

L. Schoofs
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target17%
Z. Vancsa
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target17%
R. Seuntjens
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
T. Reyners
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. van Duiven
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

St. Truiden xG (home)1.67
Lommel United xG (away)1.33

Average Possession

55.03% Possession 45.33%

Team Comparison St. Truiden vs Lommel United

81.95% Pass accuracy 77%
478.35 Passes per match 412.5
0.04 Goals prevented 2.28
10.45 Fouls committed 9.67
2.88 Goalkeeper saves 3.33
1.97 Offsides 0.5
15.98 Tackles per match 17.67

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

St. Truiden vs Lommel United prediction analysis

Review St. Truiden vs Lommel United with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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