Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers

Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2026-10-10 15:00
Stade Brestois 29
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-0
Angers
Away

Prediction Summary

1
53%
X
25%
2
23%
+2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Stade Brestois 29 (Home)

Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate47%

Angers (Away)

Goals scored / match0.65
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Stade Brestois 29
DLLLD
Angers
DDLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 59%
53% +1.5 6%
29% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

Stade Brestois 29 averages 1.65 goals scored at home, while Angers averages 0.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
53%
Draw
25%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Stade Brestois 29 1 - 1 Angers Draw
Sep 2025 Stade Brestois 29(A) 2 - 0 Angers Home
Mar 2025 Stade Brestois 29 2 - 0 Angers Home
Jan 2025 Stade Brestois 29(A) 0 - 2 Angers Away
Jan 2023 Stade Brestois 29 4 - 0 Angers Home

In the last 5 meetings, Stade Brestois 29 won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Stade Brestois 29 — unbeaten run (home)1
Stade Brestois 29 — scoring streak (home)7
Angers — winless run (away)4
Angers — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Stade Brestois 29 Win (1)53%
Draw (X)25%
Angers Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 59%
53% +1.5 6%
29% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 41%
47% -1.5 94%
71% -2.5 100%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Stade Brestois 29 — scored (home)1.65
Stade Brestois 29 — conceded (home)1.35
Angers — scored (away)0.65
Angers — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.65

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Stade Brestois 29 — BTTS matches (home)47%
Angers — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Stade Brestois 29 (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against3.9

Angers (away)

Corners for3.0
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Stade Brestois 29
6 10 15 9 9
Angers
7 9 10 2 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.591%
Under 0.59%
Over 1.580%
Under 1.520%
Over 2.553%
Under 2.547%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3

Yellow Cards per Team

Stade Brestois 29 (home)

For1.7

Angers (away)

For1.6

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.569%
Under 19.531%
Over 22.555%
Under 22.545%
Over 25.541%
Under 25.559%
Expected total shots24.41

Stade Brestois 29

Shots Over 9.578%
Shots Over 11.564%
Shots Over 13.549%
Expected shots13.93
On Target Over 3.568%
On Target Over 4.552%
On Target Over 5.537%
Expected on target4.94

Angers

Shots Over 9.555%
Shots Over 11.537%
Shots Over 13.523%
Expected shots10.48
On Target Over 3.544%
On Target Over 4.528%
On Target Over 5.516%
Expected on target3.47

Shots per Game

Stade Brestois 29 — total shots (home)13.9
Angers — total shots (away)8.4

Shots on Target

Stade Brestois 29 — on target (home)4.5
Angers — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Stade Brestois 29

Inside the box7.12
Outside the box4.12

Angers

Inside the box5.88
Outside the box3.44

Player Shots Stade Brestois 29

R. Labeau Lascary
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target11%
K. Doumbia
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target8%
L. Ajorque
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target19%
R. Del Castillo
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Le Cardinal
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Angers

G. Koyalipou
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Sbaï
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
S. Cherif
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target21%
Y. Belkhdim
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target11%
P. Peter
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Stade Brestois 29 xG (home)1.33
Angers xG (away)0.95

Average Possession

43.38% Possession 41.82%

Team Comparison Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers

78.18% Pass accuracy 81.97%
376.21 Passes per match 398.09
0.04 Goals prevented -0.01
12.76 Fouls committed 11.09
3.12 Goalkeeper saves 4.03
1.36 Offsides 1.79
18.32 Tackles per match 18

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers prediction analysis

Review Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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