Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Stade Brestois 29 vs Auxerre

Stade Brestois 29 vs Auxerre prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2026-01-04 16:15
Stade Brestois 29
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Auxerre
Away

Prediction Summary

1
56%
X
24%
2
21%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Stade Brestois 29 (Home)

Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate47%

Auxerre (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Stade Brestois 29
DLLLD
Auxerre
WWWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 53%
53% +1.5 35%
29% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Medium.

Stade Brestois 29 averages 1.65 goals scored at home, while Auxerre averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
56%
Draw
24%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Stade Brestois 29(A) 0 - 3 Auxerre Away
Jan 2026 Stade Brestois 29 2 - 0 Auxerre Home
Feb 2025 Stade Brestois 29 2 - 2 Auxerre Draw
Sep 2024 Stade Brestois 29(A) 0 - 3 Auxerre Away
May 2023 Stade Brestois 29 1 - 0 Auxerre Home

In the last 5 meetings, Stade Brestois 29 won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Stade Brestois 29 — unbeaten run (home)1
Stade Brestois 29 — scoring streak (home)7
Auxerre — winless run (away)0
Auxerre — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Stade Brestois 29 Win (1)56%
Draw (X)24%
Auxerre Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 53%
53% +1.5 35%
29% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 47%
47% -1.5 65%
71% -2.5 94%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Stade Brestois 29 vs Auxerre — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Stade Brestois 29 — scored (home)1.65
Stade Brestois 29 — conceded (home)1.35
Auxerre — scored (away)0.94
Auxerre — conceded (away)1.59
Model expected combined goals2.72

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Stade Brestois 29 — BTTS matches (home)47%
Auxerre — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.586%
Under 5.514%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.562%
Under 7.538%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.535%
Under 9.565%
Over 10.524%
Under 10.576%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Stade Brestois 29 (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against3.9

Auxerre (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Stade Brestois 29
6 10 15 9 9
Auxerre
14 9 10 11 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Stade Brestois 29 (home)

For1.7

Auxerre (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Stade Brestois 29 — total shots (home)13.9
Auxerre — total shots (away)9.9

Shots on Target

Stade Brestois 29 — on target (home)4.5
Auxerre — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Stade Brestois 29

Inside the box7.12
Outside the box4.12

Auxerre

Inside the box6.94
Outside the box3.76

Player Shots Stade Brestois 29

R. Labeau Lascary
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target11%
K. Doumbia
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target8%
L. Ajorque
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target19%
R. Del Castillo
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Le Cardinal
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Auxerre

L. Sinayoko
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target28%
D. Namaso
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Mara
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target7%
I. Osman
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Casimir
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Stade Brestois 29 xG (home)1.33
Auxerre xG (away)1.05

Average Possession

43.38% Possession 43.91%

Team Comparison Stade Brestois 29 vs Auxerre

78.18% Pass accuracy 79.62%
376.21 Passes per match 372.85
0.04 Goals prevented 0.08
12.76 Fouls committed 13.74
3.12 Goalkeeper saves 3.29
1.36 Offsides 1.45
18.32 Tackles per match 18.09

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Stade Brestois 29 vs Auxerre prediction analysis

Review Stade Brestois 29 vs Auxerre with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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