What markets are included in the Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain

Q: How is the Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Ligue 1 2026-09-12 15:00

Stade Brestois 29

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

57%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Paris Saint Germain

Away

Prediction Summary

31%

24%

45%

+2.5 Goals

57%

BTTS

59%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Stade Brestois 29 (Home)

Goals scored / match1.65

Goals conceded / match1.35

Over 2.5 rate29%

BTTS rate47%

Paris Saint Germain (Away)

Goals scored / match1.94

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate35%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Stade Brestois 29

DLLLD

Paris Saint Germain

LWWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

76% +0.5 88%

53% +1.5 47%

29% +2.5 35%

6% +3.5 12%

0% +4.5 6%

47% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.

Stade Brestois 29 averages 1.65 goals scored at home, while Paris Saint Germain averages 1.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength

59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

31%

Draw

24%

Away Win

45%

Over 2.5

57%

BTTS Yes

59%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Stade Brestois 29(A) 0 - 1 Paris Saint Germain Away

Oct 2025 Stade Brestois 29 0 - 3 Paris Saint Germain Away

Feb 2025 Stade Brestois 29(A) 0 - 7 Paris Saint Germain Away

Feb 2025 Stade Brestois 29 0 - 3 Paris Saint Germain Away

Feb 2025 Stade Brestois 29 2 - 5 Paris Saint Germain Away

In the last 5 meetings, Stade Brestois 29 won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Stade Brestois 29 — unbeaten run (home)1

Stade Brestois 29 — scoring streak (home)7

Paris Saint Germain — winless run (away)1

Paris Saint Germain — clean sheets (away, last 5)4 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Stade Brestois 29 Win (1)31%

Draw (X)24%

Paris Saint Germain Win (2)45%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

76% +0.5 88%

53% +1.5 47%

29% +2.5 35%

6% +3.5 12%

0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

24% -0.5 12%

47% -1.5 53%

71% -2.5 65%

94% -3.5 88%

100% -4.5 94%

Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Stade Brestois 29 — scored (home)1.65

Stade Brestois 29 — conceded (home)1.35

Paris Saint Germain — scored (away)1.94

Paris Saint Germain — conceded (away)1

Model expected combined goals2.97

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%

No41%

Rate per Team

Stade Brestois 29 — BTTS matches (home)47%

Paris Saint Germain — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)47%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%

Under 8.543%

Over 9.546%

Under 9.554%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Stade Brestois 29 (home)

Corners for4.6

Corners against3.9

Paris Saint Germain (away)

Corners for5.2

Corners against3.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Stade Brestois 29

6 10 15 9 9

Paris Saint Germain

9 14 15 9 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.580%

Under 1.520%

Over 2.550%

Under 2.550%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Stade Brestois 29 (home)

For1.7

Paris Saint Germain (away)

For0.9

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.573%

Under 19.527%

Over 22.560%

Under 22.540%

Over 25.546%

Under 25.554%

Expected total shots25.60

Stade Brestois 29

Shots Over 9.571%

Shots Over 11.555%

Shots Over 13.540%

Expected shots12.71

On Target Over 3.561%

On Target Over 4.544%

On Target Over 5.530%

Expected on target4.43

Paris Saint Germain

Shots Over 9.572%

Shots Over 11.557%

Shots Over 13.541%

Expected shots12.89

On Target Over 3.567%

On Target Over 4.552%

On Target Over 5.537%

Expected on target4.91

Shots per Game

Stade Brestois 29 — total shots (home)13.9

Paris Saint Germain — total shots (away)15.2

Shots on Target

Stade Brestois 29 — on target (home)4.5

Paris Saint Germain — on target (away)6.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Stade Brestois 29

Inside the box7.12

Outside the box4.12

Paris Saint Germain

Inside the box11.18

Outside the box6.53

Player Shots Stade Brestois 29

R. Labeau Lascary

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target11%

K. Doumbia

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target8%

L. Ajorque

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target19%

R. Del Castillo

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target6%

J. Le Cardinal

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Paris Saint Germain

B. Barcola

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target72%

+1.5 On Target31%

K. Kvaratskhelia

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target29%

Gonçalo Ramos

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target23%

D. Doué

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target22%

O. Dembélé

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target23%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Stade Brestois 29 xG (home)1.33

Paris Saint Germain xG (away)2.12

Average Possession

43.38% Possession 68.79%

Team Comparison Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain

78.18% Pass accuracy 91.06%

376.21 Passes per match 723.03

0.04 Goals prevented -0.17

12.76 Fouls committed 9.18

3.12 Goalkeeper saves 2.26

1.36 Offsides 1.4

18.32 Tackles per match 14.88

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain prediction analysis

Review Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Ligue 1

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights