Prediction Analysis: Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse
Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Ligue 1
2026-08-29
15:00
Stade Brestois 29
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Toulouse
Away
Prediction Summary
1
41%
X
25%
2
34%
+2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
58%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Stade Brestois 29 (Home)
Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate47%
Toulouse (Away)
Goals scored / match1.38
Goals conceded / match1.38
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate56%
Team Form last 5 matches
Stade Brestois 29
DLLLD
Toulouse
WWDLL
Goals Comparison rate per team
76%
+0.5
75%
53%
+1.5
44%
29%
+2.5
13%
6%
+3.5
6%
0%
+4.5
0%
47%
BTTS
56%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.
Stade Brestois 29 averages 1.65 goals scored at home, while Toulouse averages 1.38 goals scored away.
Model Strength
58%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
41%
Draw
25%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jan 2026
Stade Brestois 29
0 - 2
Toulouse
Away
Aug 2025
Stade Brestois 29(A)
0 - 2
Toulouse
Away
Mar 2025
Stade Brestois 29(A)
4 - 2
Toulouse
Home
Sep 2024
Stade Brestois 29
2 - 0
Toulouse
Home
May 2024
Stade Brestois 29(A)
3 - 0
Toulouse
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Stade Brestois 29 won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Stade Brestois 29 — unbeaten run (home)1
Stade Brestois 29 — scoring streak (home)7
Toulouse — winless run (away)0
Toulouse — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Stade Brestois 29 Win (1)41%
Draw (X)25%
Toulouse Win (2)34%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
76%
+0.5
75%
53%
+1.5
44%
29%
+2.5
13%
6%
+3.5
6%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
24%
-0.5
25%
47%
-1.5
56%
71%
-2.5
87%
94%
-3.5
94%
100%
-4.5
100%
Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Stade Brestois 29 — scored (home)1.65
Stade Brestois 29 — conceded (home)1.35
Toulouse — scored (away)1.38
Toulouse — conceded (away)1.38
Model expected combined goals2.88
Both Teams To Score
Yes58%
No42%
Rate per Team
Stade Brestois 29 — BTTS matches (home)47%
Toulouse — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)51.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50
Per-Team Corners own matches
Stade Brestois 29 (home)
Corners for4.6
Corners against3.9
Toulouse (away)
Corners for3.8
Corners against5.9
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Stade Brestois 29
6
10
15
9
9
Toulouse
6
15
6
11
15
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.580%
Under 2.520%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1
Yellow Cards per Team
Stade Brestois 29 (home)
For1.7
Toulouse (away)
For2.9
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.571%
Under 19.529%
Over 22.558%
Under 22.542%
Over 25.544%
Under 25.556%
Expected total shots25.01
Stade Brestois 29
Shots Over 9.577%
Shots Over 11.562%
Shots Over 13.547%
Expected shots13.69
On Target Over 3.563%
On Target Over 4.547%
On Target Over 5.532%
Expected on target4.60
Toulouse
Shots Over 9.562%
Shots Over 11.544%
Shots Over 13.529%
Expected shots11.32
On Target Over 3.553%
On Target Over 4.536%
On Target Over 5.523%
Expected on target3.95
Shots per Game
Stade Brestois 29 — total shots (home)13.9
Toulouse — total shots (away)10.9
Shots on Target
Stade Brestois 29 — on target (home)4.5
Toulouse — on target (away)3.8
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Stade Brestois 29
Inside the box7.12
Outside the box4.12
Toulouse
Inside the box8.36
Outside the box4.48
Player Shots Stade Brestois 29
R. Labeau Lascary
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target11%
K. Doumbia
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target8%
L. Ajorque
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target19%
R. Del Castillo
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target6%
J. Le Cardinal
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Toulouse
P. Diop
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target13%
F. Magri
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target12%
Emersonn
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target11%
J. Vignolo
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target15%
Y. Gboho
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target13%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Stade Brestois 29 xG (home)1.33
Toulouse xG (away)1.31
Average Possession
43.38%
Possession
42.24%
Team Comparison Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse
78.18%
Pass accuracy
80.55%
376.21
Passes per match
374
0.04
Goals prevented
0.07
12.76
Fouls committed
14.36
3.12
Goalkeeper saves
2.58
1.36
Offsides
1.33
18.32
Tackles per match
16.36
League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse prediction analysis
Review Stade Brestois 29 vs Toulouse with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights