Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Standard Liege vs Cercle Brugge

Standard Liege vs Cercle Brugge prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2026-08-08 16:15
Standard Liege
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Cercle Brugge
Away

Prediction Summary

1
30%
X
27%
2
43%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Standard Liege (Home)

Goals scored / match0.9
Goals conceded / match1.25
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate55%

Cercle Brugge (Away)

Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match1.28
Over 2.5 rate22%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

Standard Liege
LWDWW
Cercle Brugge
LLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

65% +0.5 78%
20% +1.5 39%
5% +2.5 22%
0% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 0%
55% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Medium.

Standard Liege averages 0.9 goals scored at home, while Cercle Brugge averages 1.5 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
30%
Draw
27%
Away Win
43%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Standard Liege(A) 2 - 1 Cercle Brugge Home
Aug 2025 Standard Liege 0 - 3 Cercle Brugge Away
Feb 2025 Standard Liege(A) 1 - 1 Cercle Brugge Draw
Nov 2024 Standard Liege 1 - 0 Cercle Brugge Home
Jan 2024 Standard Liege(A) 1 - 1 Cercle Brugge Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Standard Liege won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Standard Liege — unbeaten run (home)0
Standard Liege — scoring streak (home)0
Cercle Brugge — winless run (away)1
Cercle Brugge — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Standard Liege Win (1)30%
Draw (X)27%
Cercle Brugge Win (2)43%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

65% +0.5 78%
20% +1.5 39%
5% +2.5 22%
0% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

35% -0.5 22%
80% -1.5 61%
95% -2.5 78%
100% -3.5 89%
100% -4.5 100%

Standard Liege vs Cercle Brugge — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Standard Liege — scored (home)0.9
Standard Liege — conceded (home)1.25
Cercle Brugge — scored (away)1.5
Cercle Brugge — conceded (away)1.28
Model expected combined goals2.46

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

Standard Liege — BTTS matches (home)55%
Cercle Brugge — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)55.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Standard Liege (home)

Corners for5.0
Corners against5.1

Cercle Brugge (away)

Corners for4.9
Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Standard Liege
10 10 9 7 15
Cercle Brugge
14 10 13 13 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Standard Liege (home)

For2.3

Cercle Brugge (away)

For2.6

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.578%
Under 19.522%
Over 22.564%
Under 22.536%
Over 25.550%
Under 25.550%
Expected total shots26.35

Standard Liege

Shots Over 9.574%
Shots Over 11.558%
Shots Over 13.542%
Expected shots12.91
On Target Over 3.561%
On Target Over 4.544%
On Target Over 5.529%
Expected on target4.40

Cercle Brugge

Shots Over 9.577%
Shots Over 11.562%
Shots Over 13.546%
Expected shots13.45
On Target Over 3.562%
On Target Over 4.545%
On Target Over 5.530%
Expected on target4.45

Shots per Game

Standard Liege — total shots (home)10.6
Cercle Brugge — total shots (away)13.3

Shots on Target

Standard Liege — on target (home)3.6
Cercle Brugge — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Standard Liege

Inside the box6.85
Outside the box3

Cercle Brugge

Inside the box10.39
Outside the box3.92

Player Shots Standard Liege

R. Saïd
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target30%
C. Nielsen
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target4%
Bernard Nguene
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target0%
T. Nkada
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
T. Teuma
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Cercle Brugge

O. Adewumi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target16%
O. Diakité
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target12%
A. Minda
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target18%
S. Ngoura
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Diop
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Standard Liege xG (home)1.16
Cercle Brugge xG (away)1.66

Average Possession

44.33% Possession 47.67%

Team Comparison Standard Liege vs Cercle Brugge

75.3% Pass accuracy 74.75%
367.95 Passes per match 367.03
0.23 Goals prevented 0.2
10.25 Fouls committed 10.64
3.68 Goalkeeper saves 3.36
2.37 Offsides 2.97
14.38 Tackles per match 19.03

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Standard Liege vs Cercle Brugge prediction analysis

Review Standard Liege vs Cercle Brugge with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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