What markets are included in the Stoke City vs Bristol City prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Stoke City vs Bristol City prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Stoke City vs Bristol City

Stoke City vs Bristol City prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-11-01 15:00

Stoke City

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

32%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-1

Bristol City

Away

Prediction Summary

25%

30%

45%

Under 2.5

68%

BTTS No

62%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Stoke City (Home)

Goals scored / match1.48

Goals conceded / match1.22

Over 2.5 rate22%

BTTS rate61%

Bristol City (Away)

Goals scored / match1.13

Goals conceded / match1.22

Over 2.5 rate13%

BTTS rate52%

Team Form last 5 matches

Stoke City

LLLLD

Bristol City

WLDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

78% +0.5 65%

39% +1.5 30%

22% +2.5 13%

4% +3.5 4%

4% +4.5 0%

61% BTTS 52%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.

Stoke City averages 1.48 goals scored at home, while Bristol City averages 1.13 goals scored away.

Model Strength

68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

25%

Draw

30%

Away Win

45%

Over 2.5

32%

BTTS Yes

38%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Stoke City(A) 0 - 2 Bristol City Away

Nov 2025 Stoke City 5 - 1 Bristol City Home

Feb 2025 Stoke City(A) 0 - 2 Bristol City Away

Oct 2024 Stoke City 2 - 2 Bristol City Draw

May 2024 Stoke City 4 - 0 Bristol City Home

In the last 5 meetings, Stoke City won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Stoke City — unbeaten run (home)0

Stoke City — scoring streak (home)8

Bristol City — winless run (away)3

Bristol City — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Stoke City Win (1)25%

Draw (X)30%

Bristol City Win (2)45%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

78% +0.5 65%

39% +1.5 30%

22% +2.5 13%

4% +3.5 4%

4% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

22% -0.5 35%

61% -1.5 70%

78% -2.5 87%

96% -3.5 96%

96% -4.5 100%

Stoke City vs Bristol City — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Stoke City — scored (home)1.48

Stoke City — conceded (home)1.22

Bristol City — scored (away)1.13

Bristol City — conceded (away)1.22

Model expected combined goals2

Both Teams To Score

Yes38%

No62%

Rate per Team

Stoke City — BTTS matches (home)61%

Bristol City — BTTS matches (away)52%

Combined (simple average)56.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.596%

Under 5.54%

Over 6.592%

Under 6.58%

Over 7.589%

Under 7.511%

Over 8.578%

Under 8.522%

Over 9.559%

Under 9.541%

Over 10.541%

Under 10.559%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Stoke City (home)

Corners for6.4

Corners against4.2

Bristol City (away)

Corners for5.0

Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Stoke City

7 8 12 9 17

Bristol City

9 12 10 11 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.596%

Under 1.54%

Over 2.585%

Under 2.515%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Stoke City (home)

For2.0

Bristol City (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Stoke City — total shots (home)12.7

Bristol City — total shots (away)11.6

Shots on Target

Stoke City — on target (home)4.8

Bristol City — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Stoke City

Inside the box7.33

Outside the box3.93

Bristol City

Inside the box7.39

Outside the box4.78

Player Shots Stoke City

M. Manhoef

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target16%

S. Thomas

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target16%

D. Mubama

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target15%

L. Cissé

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target9%

J. Rak-Sakyi

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Bristol City

A. Mehmeti

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target32%

S. Twine

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target18%

E. Riis

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target14%

S. Bell

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target8%

T. Horvat

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Stoke City xG (home)1.11

Bristol City xG (away)1.21

Average Possession

51.91% Possession 49.28%

Team Comparison Stoke City vs Bristol City

78.17% Pass accuracy 77.85%

399.07 Passes per match 424.78

0 Goals prevented -0.04

10.48 Fouls committed 9.54

2.61 Goalkeeper saves 3.23

2.7 Offsides 2.02

12.98 Tackles per match 14.8

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Stoke City vs Bristol City prediction analysis

Review Stoke City vs Bristol City with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights