Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Stoke City vs Preston

Stoke City vs Preston prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-12-26 15:00
Stoke City
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Preston
Away

Prediction Summary

1
44%
X
27%
2
30%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Stoke City (Home)

Goals scored / match1.48
Goals conceded / match1.22
Over 2.5 rate22%
BTTS rate61%

Preston (Away)

Goals scored / match1.17
Goals conceded / match1.39
Over 2.5 rate9%
BTTS rate61%

Team Form last 5 matches

Stoke City
LLLLD
Preston
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

78% +0.5 74%
39% +1.5 35%
22% +2.5 9%
4% +3.5 0%
4% +4.5 0%
61% BTTS 61%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Stoke City averages 1.48 goals scored at home, while Preston averages 1.17 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
44%
Draw
27%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Stoke City(A) 1 - 3 Preston Away
Dec 2025 Stoke City 0 - 0 Preston Draw
Apr 2025 Stoke City(A) 1 - 1 Preston Draw
Nov 2024 Stoke City 0 - 0 Preston Draw
Mar 2024 Stoke City(A) 2 - 1 Preston Home

In the last 5 meetings, Stoke City won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Stoke City — unbeaten run (home)0
Stoke City — scoring streak (home)8
Preston — winless run (away)0
Preston — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Stoke City Win (1)44%
Draw (X)27%
Preston Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

78% +0.5 74%
39% +1.5 35%
22% +2.5 9%
4% +3.5 0%
4% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

22% -0.5 26%
61% -1.5 65%
78% -2.5 91%
96% -3.5 100%
96% -4.5 100%

Stoke City vs Preston — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Stoke City — scored (home)1.48
Stoke City — conceded (home)1.22
Preston — scored (away)1.17
Preston — conceded (away)1.39
Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

Stoke City — BTTS matches (home)61%
Preston — BTTS matches (away)61%
Combined (simple average)61%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.592%
Under 6.58%
Over 7.587%
Under 7.513%
Over 8.572%
Under 8.528%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Stoke City (home)

Corners for6.4
Corners against4.2

Preston (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Stoke City
7 8 12 9 17
Preston
11 14 6 15 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.596%
Under 0.54%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Stoke City (home)

For2.0

Preston (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Stoke City — total shots (home)12.7
Preston — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

Stoke City — on target (home)4.8
Preston — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Stoke City

Inside the box7.33
Outside the box3.93

Preston

Inside the box7.43
Outside the box3.5

Player Shots Stoke City

M. Manhoef
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target16%
S. Thomas
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target16%
D. Mubama
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
L. Cissé
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Rak-Sakyi
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Preston

M. Osmajić
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target18%
L. Dobbin
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target10%
B. Potts
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Devine
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Small
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Stoke City xG (home)1.11
Preston xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

51.91% Possession 45.59%

Team Comparison Stoke City vs Preston

78.17% Pass accuracy 72.15%
399.07 Passes per match 344.41
0 Goals prevented 0.03
10.48 Fouls committed 10.39
2.61 Goalkeeper saves 3
2.7 Offsides 1.7
12.98 Tackles per match 16.07

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Stoke City vs Preston prediction analysis

Review Stoke City vs Preston with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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