What markets are included in the Stoke City vs Swansea prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Stoke City vs Swansea prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Stoke City vs Swansea

Stoke City vs Swansea prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2026-08-15 14:00

Stoke City

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

47%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Swansea

Away

Prediction Summary

45%

26%

29%

Under 2.5

53%

BTTS Yes

51%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Stoke City (Home)

Goals scored / match1.48

Goals conceded / match1.22

Over 2.5 rate22%

BTTS rate61%

Swansea (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.39

Over 2.5 rate4%

BTTS rate48%

Team Form last 5 matches

Stoke City

LLLLD

Swansea

WDWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

78% +0.5 65%

39% +1.5 30%

22% +2.5 4%

4% +3.5 0%

4% +4.5 0%

61% BTTS 48%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

Stoke City averages 1.48 goals scored at home, while Swansea averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

45%

Draw

26%

Away Win

29%

Over 2.5

47%

BTTS Yes

51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Stoke City(A) 0 - 2 Swansea Away

Dec 2025 Stoke City 2 - 1 Swansea Home

Feb 2025 Stoke City 3 - 1 Swansea Home

Oct 2024 Stoke City(A) 0 - 0 Swansea Draw

Apr 2024 Stoke City(A) 0 - 3 Swansea Away

In the last 5 meetings, Stoke City won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Stoke City — unbeaten run (home)0

Stoke City — scoring streak (home)8

Swansea — winless run (away)1

Swansea — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Stoke City Win (1)45%

Draw (X)26%

Swansea Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

78% +0.5 65%

39% +1.5 30%

22% +2.5 4%

4% +3.5 0%

4% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

22% -0.5 35%

61% -1.5 70%

78% -2.5 96%

96% -3.5 100%

96% -4.5 100%

Stoke City vs Swansea — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Stoke City — scored (home)1.48

Stoke City — conceded (home)1.22

Swansea — scored (away)1

Swansea — conceded (away)1.39

Model expected combined goals2.54

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%

No49%

Rate per Team

Stoke City — BTTS matches (home)61%

Swansea — BTTS matches (away)48%

Combined (simple average)54.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.565%

Under 8.535%

Over 9.554%

Under 9.546%

Over 10.544%

Under 10.556%

Expected total corners (model prediction)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Stoke City (home)

Corners for6.4

Corners against4.2

Swansea (away)

Corners for4.0

Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Stoke City

7 8 12 9 17

Swansea

14 16 9 7 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.594%

Under 1.56%

Over 2.572%

Under 2.528%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Stoke City (home)

For2.0

Swansea (away)

For2.1

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.569%

Under 19.531%

Over 22.554%

Under 22.546%

Over 25.539%

Under 25.561%

Expected total shots23.94

Stoke City

Shots Over 9.575%

Shots Over 11.559%

Shots Over 13.543%

Expected shots13.03

On Target Over 3.564%

On Target Over 4.546%

On Target Over 5.531%

Expected on target4.55

Swansea

Shots Over 9.559%

Shots Over 11.541%

Shots Over 13.526%

Expected shots10.91

On Target Over 3.548%

On Target Over 4.531%

On Target Over 5.518%

Expected on target3.63

Shots per Game

Stoke City — total shots (home)12.7

Swansea — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Stoke City — on target (home)4.8

Swansea — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Stoke City

Inside the box7.33

Outside the box3.93

Swansea

Inside the box7.11

Outside the box5.2

Player Shots Stoke City

M. Manhoef

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target16%

S. Thomas

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target16%

D. Mubama

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target15%

L. Cissé

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target9%

J. Rak-Sakyi

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Swansea

Z. Vipotnik

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target23%

A. Idah

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target12%

L. Cullen

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target8%

L. Walta

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target20%

Ronald

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Stoke City xG (home)1.11

Swansea xG (away)1.12

Average Possession

51.91% Possession 54.57%

Team Comparison Stoke City vs Swansea

78.17% Pass accuracy 79.43%

399.07 Passes per match 461.63

0 Goals prevented -0.11

10.48 Fouls committed 9.7

2.61 Goalkeeper saves 3.2

2.7 Offsides 2.11

12.98 Tackles per match 15.37

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Stoke City vs Swansea prediction analysis

Review Stoke City vs Swansea with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights