Prediction Analysis: Strasbourg vs Lens
Strasbourg vs Lens prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Ligue 1
2026-08-29
15:00
Strasbourg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Lens
Away
Prediction Summary
1
39%
X
24%
2
37%
+2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
60%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Strasbourg (Home)
Goals scored / match1.76
Goals conceded / match1.12
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate53%
Lens (Away)
Goals scored / match1.82
Goals conceded / match1.29
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate59%
Team Form last 5 matches
Strasbourg
WWDLW
Lens
WLWDD
Goals Comparison rate per team
82%
+0.5
76%
41%
+1.5
53%
29%
+2.5
29%
12%
+3.5
18%
12%
+4.5
6%
53%
BTTS
59%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.
Strasbourg averages 1.76 goals scored at home, while Lens averages 1.82 goals scored away.
Model Strength
60%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
39%
Draw
24%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2026
Strasbourg
1 - 1
Lens
Draw
Nov 2025
Strasbourg(A)
0 - 1
Lens
Away
Feb 2025
Strasbourg(A)
2 - 0
Lens
Home
Oct 2024
Strasbourg
2 - 2
Lens
Draw
Feb 2024
Strasbourg(A)
1 - 3
Lens
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Strasbourg won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Strasbourg — unbeaten run (home)1
Strasbourg — scoring streak (home)2
Lens — winless run (away)0
Lens — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Strasbourg Win (1)39%
Draw (X)24%
Lens Win (2)37%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
82%
+0.5
76%
41%
+1.5
53%
29%
+2.5
29%
12%
+3.5
18%
12%
+4.5
6%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
18%
-0.5
24%
59%
-1.5
47%
71%
-2.5
71%
88%
-3.5
82%
88%
-4.5
94%
Strasbourg vs Lens — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Strasbourg — scored (home)1.76
Strasbourg — conceded (home)1.12
Lens — scored (away)1.82
Lens — conceded (away)1.29
Model expected combined goals3
Both Teams To Score
Yes60%
No40%
Rate per Team
Strasbourg — BTTS matches (home)53%
Lens — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)56%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50
Per-Team Corners own matches
Strasbourg (home)
Corners for4.9
Corners against4.5
Lens (away)
Corners for5.6
Corners against4.2
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Strasbourg
16
11
2
9
10
Lens
6
15
11
9
28
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9
Yellow Cards per Team
Strasbourg (home)
For1.4
Lens (away)
For2.5
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.571%
Under 19.529%
Over 22.557%
Under 22.543%
Over 25.544%
Under 25.556%
Expected total shots24.98
Strasbourg
Shots Over 9.569%
Shots Over 11.552%
Shots Over 13.537%
Expected shots12.33
On Target Over 3.563%
On Target Over 4.547%
On Target Over 5.532%
Expected on target4.60
Lens
Shots Over 9.571%
Shots Over 11.555%
Shots Over 13.540%
Expected shots12.66
On Target Over 3.558%
On Target Over 4.542%
On Target Over 5.528%
Expected on target4.29
Shots per Game
Strasbourg — total shots (home)12.1
Lens — total shots (away)14.6
Shots on Target
Strasbourg — on target (home)5.1
Lens — on target (away)4.7
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Strasbourg
Inside the box7.94
Outside the box3.53
Lens
Inside the box11.47
Outside the box4.97
Player Shots Strasbourg
J. Panichelli
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Enciso
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Emegha
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target40%
M. Godo
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
S. Nanasi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target11%
Player Shots Lens
O. Édouard
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target34%
W. Saïd
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target31%
F. Thauvin
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Udol
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target9%
M. Sangaré
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target10%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Strasbourg xG (home)1.59
Lens xG (away)1.99
Average Possession
53.74%
Possession
51.12%
Team Comparison Strasbourg vs Lens
87.5%
Pass accuracy
84.24%
518.29
Passes per match
463.53
0.04
Goals prevented
0.17
11.26
Fouls committed
12.71
3.24
Goalkeeper saves
2.48
1.94
Offsides
2.23
16.15
Tackles per match
18.74
League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Strasbourg vs Lens prediction analysis
Review Strasbourg vs Lens with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Ligue 1.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Ligue 1
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights